A secretary bought three shares of her company's stock for $60 each in 1935.
Grace Groner reinvested her dividends for 75 years, and her stake ballooned to $7.2 million.
Her employer, Abbott, shared Groner's story in a recent website post.
A secretary paid $180 in 1935 for three shares of her employer's stock. By the time she died in 2010, her investment had mushroomed to $7.2 million.
Abbott, a pharmaceutical company, gave a shout-out to the former employee in a recent post on its website.
"As we celebrate 101 years of dividend payouts, we're remembering one of the earliest Abbott investing success stories, that of Grace Groner, who worked as a secretary at Abbott for over 40 years," the post reads.
"In 1935, Groner bought three shares of Abbott stock for $60 each. She consistently reinvested her dividend payments and quietly amassed a $7.2 million fortune. Groner passed away in 2010, at the age of 100, and it was only then that her multimillion-dollar estate was discovered."
She gifted her entire fortune to a foundation she'd established in support of her alma mater, Lake Forest College. She earmarked the money to finance internships, international study, and service projects for students.
Groner hung onto her Abbott shares for over 75 years without selling a single one, despite several stock splits, and used her dividends to bolster her stake.
She was likely able to leave her nest egg intact for so long because of her simple lifestyle. She lived in a one-bedroom house, bought her clothes at rummage sales, and didn't own a car, the Chicago Tribune reported in 2010.
Her shares would be worth north of $28 million today, excluding dividends, given that Abbott's stock price has roughly quadrupled since 2010. The drugmaker's market value has risen to around $200 billion, meaning it now rivals Disney, PepsiCo, and Morgan Stanley in size.
Brennan Schlagbaum has zero interest in managing properties but wants exposure to real estate.
His solution is to invest in real estate syndications, which are completely hands-off.
This is when a group of investors pool capital to purchase a single investment.
Brennan Schlagbaum recognizes the advantages of real estate โ from the tax benefits to portfolio diversification โ but he's not willing to buy and manage an investment property.
He says he has his hands full with simply maintaining a primary residence: "I hate real estate with a passion. If something breaks in my house, I call somebody."
To benefit from real estate without having to actually own and operate properties, he invests in real estate syndications.
"I think it's one of the best ways for somebody that hates real estate but understands the tax benefits of real estate to get in because you don't have to do anything," the self-made millionaire and founder of Budgetdog, who built his wealth primarily investing in low-cost index funds, told Business Insider.
How real-estate syndications work
In real-estate syndication deals, a group of investors pools together their capital to purchase a single property managed by the syndicator.
Once the investor contributes capital, their role in the deal becomes completely passive. The real-estate syndicator is responsible for finding the deal, executing the transaction, and, ultimately, delivering returns to the investors.
"You lose control from that aspect. You don't really have control over how that performs," said Schlagbaum, who said he invests in five multi-family syndications. But if you work with a syndicator with a good track record that you trust, "it's essentially an index fund."
He invests with a syndicator that specializes in multi-family properties.
"They go in, upgrade the units, increase rent prices in a really high-demand area that's underpriced, own and operate that building for a couple of years, and then typically sell it after a three- to five-year period, sometimes up to seven," he explained. "And you don't do anything as an investor; you're just an equity partner. So you literally send some capital their way and hope they do their job."
A good option for established investors looking for hands-off strategies
BI has spoken to a variety of established investors who, after building wealth by acquiring rental properties, are turning to syndication deals for a more passive experience.
"You hear that real-estate investing is passive, and that's certainly not been my experience," said self-made millionaire Tess Waresmith, who owns five units across three properties. "I still think it's a wonderful way to invest, but it's not passive like investing in the stock market is."
She invested in her first syndication in 2023 and likes that it opens the door to bigger investment opportunities.
"I check out the deal and make sure it's something that feels good to me, and then when I invest the money, I'm hands-off. I'm not involved in the day-to-day decision-making of the property," she said. "But as an investor, I get to benefit from investing in the larger unit properties."
Carl and Mindy Jensen, a financially independent couple who have started shifting toward passive-investing strategies, including real estate syndication, also appreciate the hands-off nature of these deals. But it's hard to know what your returns will look like, Carl told BI: "The people running these syndications will tell you they're expecting numbers, and it's infrequently accurate."
It's important to remember that the syndicator is "probably using their best, sunny-day scenarios." That said, "every syndication we've had has actually outperformed the original numbers."
To participate in this type of partnership, you typically have to be an accredited investor, meaning you either must have a net worth of over $1 million or an income of over $200,000 (individually) over the past two years. There's also typically a minimum investment requirement, depending on the syndicator.
But there are workarounds, said Schlagbaum, especially if you're part of a real-estate community or network.
Investors who are part of the community he's built, for example, don't necessarily have to be accredited to participate, since "the SEC deems pre-existing relationships allowable," he said. "They just get access to the deal because they know me."
Sometimes, "Getting around those hurdles is just knowing the right people."
Nicole Chan Loeb is a 38-year-old photographer, videographer, and a mother-of-two.
She and her husband prioritize experiences over gifts, so they invest for their kids in lieu of toys.
They want to teach their children financial literacy and set them up for a secure financial future.
This as-told-to essay is based on a conversation with Nicole Chan Loeb, a photographer and videographer from Boston. It's been edited for length and clarity.
For birthdays, I'll make a cake, and instead of buying toys and clothing, I invest money for them to set them up for a more secure financial future. Plastic toys and knickknacks are temporary fun, but they cause clutter and landfill waste.
My mom taught me about stocks when I was growing up
Growing up, my mom used to tell me about the stocks or funds she invested in for me. Every week, we'd take the figures in the newspaper, chart them on graph paper, and stick them on the fridge. We mostly invested in mutual funds. That was fun, and I especially loved the special time my mom and I spent together. I similarly want to teach my kids financial responsibility and literacy.
My husband and I met in college in 2004. We both worked in the finance and accounting industry โ I was in management consulting, and he was in internal audits โ before deciding it wasn't for us. I quit in 2010, and he quit shortly afterward, and we both became entrepreneurs. I'm a photographer and videographer, and he owns an escape room company.
It was a considerable risk and I was absolutely terrified. But since my parents taught me financial literacy, I've learned how to save to be comfortable no matter what. Plus, the flexibility and fulfillment this lifestyle provides is very worth it.
We gift our kids investments instead of physical gifts
My husband and I don't exchange gifts in general. If we want something, we'll just purchase it for ourselves โ after all, our money is pooled โ so I find gift-giving challenging. Instead, we share and enjoy dinners, experiences, shows, and vacations. We give each other cards โ it's more about the sentiment.
This year, my husband and I maxed out our kids' custodial Roth IRAs and deposited $7,000 each. My kids have been models for children's clothing lines, toy companies, and hospitality campaigns in my work as a commercial and advertising photographer, so the money is considered their earned income.
We decided to start investing for the kids last year because, from conversations with friends, we realized that we all wished topics like taxes, saving for retirement, and smart investing were taught in high school or earlier. We decided not to wait and agreed to start teaching these concepts as soon as our kids could grasp the basics.
Also, both my husband and I were lucky to leave school without a massive amount of debt because of our parents. These investments will allow our kids to graduate from college without an insurmountable amount of debt.
We're focused on Roth IRAs for now, but we plan to open investment accounts for them within the following year. If they don't have earned income in future years, we will set up a custodial brokerage account and invest for them that way. Because we both own our businesses, our salaries and incomes fluctuate, so we look at our finances each year and decide how much to invest.
Our kids are happy with spending time together
My kids are young, so the concept of expecting gifts has yet to solidify. And they don't really need anything. We're lucky to live in a great neighborhood where the parents pass on toys when their kids have outgrown them. I rarely purchase large toys or gifts, but I don't hold back from ad hoc purchases of crayons, markers, kids' card games, and board games.
Our children are happiest when we spend time together, doing things like lunch dates, playing board games, and baking. Happiness comes from experiences and relationships, and fewer material things promote creativity.
They spend a lot of time outside making up their own games, and we often play with things like sticks, stones, water, acorns, and pinecones. We want contented, balanced kids who aren't overwhelmed with things and toys and chasing the next new shiny object.
My husband and I find a lot of interest and joy in investments, and we hope our kids will as well. My four-year-old is very bright, and in the next year or so, he'll understand that you can put money in specific vehicles to grow, learning the concept of delayed gratification.
I'm hopeful that our kids will start making their own side income in high school and start to learn to invest for themselves as teenagers, just as I did while growing up.
If you have a unique way of teaching your children financial literacy and would like to share your story, email Jane Zhang at [email protected].
Real estate investor Ludomir Wanot shares strategies anyone can use to find deals.
He doesn't expect rates to drop in 2025 and encourages investors to lean into creative financing.
Strategies such as subject-to financing can help investors avoid excessive borrowing costs.
Real-estate investor Ludomir Wanot wants other investors to know that there are deals to be found โ you just have to know where to look.
"I love rentals. I love to see the physical, tangible assets," the Seattle-based millennial, who built his wealth wholesaling and now runs an AI company that helps lenders communicate with their clients, told Business Insider. "The proven, consistent strategy that's worked for me over the last seven years is sticking with the rental strategy of buying at a 30% discount to appraised value, making sure it cash flows at least $500 a month, and the property has to be in an opportunity zone โ and I find these properties all the time."
He's acquired five units in Oregon in the last five months, which BI verified by looking at settlement statements.
"They're definitely out there," he said. "But sometimes they're not in Washington. Sometimes you have to look outside the state."
Wanot shared strategies that any investor can use to find deals, what types of properties he's looking for and what he's avoiding, and the simplest way for anyone to break into real estate investing in 2025.
Source off-market deals through wholesalers
One strategy for finding deals is to look for off-market properties โ meaning, properties for sale that are not listed on the multiple listing service. While more difficult to find, they're typically easier to negotiate thanks to less competition.
There are various ways to find off-market properties, from real-estate auction websites to Craigslist to door-knocking. There's also wholesaling, which is when the person acting as the wholesaler finds and buys a discounted property and then sells the contract to another buyer.
Having done wholesaling for years, Wanot is aware that "there are wholesalers that consistently find discounted properties, and you can find those people on Facebook, through investment communities, they're all over."
He encourages investors to meet with wholesalers in their area and provide them with specific property criteria. If you're new to investing and haven't yet built a network, start by attending real-estate meet-ups or joining online real-estate communities.
As Wanot has learned, "Surround yourself with people who know more than you, ask questions, and build relationships with all different kinds of people you meet because you never know when you can work with them down the road."
Maximize cash flow with creative financing
Wanot doesn't expect rates to drop significantly in 2025. To get a property to generate positive cash flow in a higher-rate environment, he recommends leaning into creative financing.
"With interest rates remaining high, traditional financing methods may not yield the best returns," he said, but strategies such as seller financing, subject-to agreements, and private lending could help investors lock in better terms and avoid excessive borrowing costs.
Seller financing is when the buyer buys directly from the seller. The seller acts as the lender and provides a loan with agreed-upon terms about things like the interest rate and schedule of payments.
With subject-to financing, the buyer takes over the existing financing. The buyer doesn't actually assume the mortgage โ it remains in the seller's name with the same terms โ but will make mortgage payments on behalf of the seller.
Private money lending is another way to avoid a bank or traditional mortgage lender, and can be a "great way to avoid high interest rates and fees," said Wanot, adding: "I've had a lot of luck sourcing private money lenders through real estate Facebook groups."
Look for single-family homes that need work
"If you're a new investor, I'd definitely go after the distressed, small single-family homes," said Wanot.
Another tip is to look for property where the seller has "at least 50% equity in the home and has owned it for a long time," he said, as they might be more motivated to negotiate, especially if they're managing it from out-of-state. "I'm looking at owners who are over the age of 50 because the older owners tend to want to get out of the real estate space. It is so draining and requires a lot of physical and mental work."
Wanot owns multi-family properties but has found that they're more difficult to make the numbers work, at least in his current market.
"If you're a sophisticated investor, yes, small or large multi-families are good if you actually have run your numbers 1,000 times and you know exactly what you're looking for," he said. "There have been probably five properties that I was going to buy in the last year that I didn't pull the trigger on because the profit and loss statements that were given to me were significantly different from the actual bank statements."
A common mistake he's seen investors make, especially when it comes to these big multi-families, is just paying attention to the P&Ls, "which are made by the property managers or the owners of the property and show one story," he said. "They're not actually going through the bank statements and seeing what actual revenue is coming in and what expenses are going out."
He also advises avoiding the BRRRR โ buy, rehab, rent, refinance, and repeat โ method in a high-rate environment: "It hasn't really been working the last couple of years because the interest rates are so high right now, and so smart investors are moving away from that."
The easiest way to get started: Rent a portion of your home
For most new investors, the simplest and most risk-averse way to get started is "creating rentable units in their single-family home space," said Wanot, referring to a strategy known as "house hacking."
This requires owning a primary residence and converting a garage, basement, or even a bedroom into a rentable space. If you have a bigger budget and meet zoning requirements in your area, another option may be to build an ADU.
At a minimum, renting out a portion of your home will reduce your mortgage โ and could even fully cover it. Lowering your monthly housing payment could then help you save up to buy a proper investment property.
Wanot's top advice heading into the new year, however, is to actually implement what you read about and learn. Taking action could be as small as joining a real estate community and networking.
"People are buying programs, they're going to the events, they're watching people come up onstage and talk about how wealthy they got through a particular strategy. But very few people actually implement anything they're being taught," he said.
"The day we actually stop listening to and reading all these stories, podcasts, and YouTube videos and actually apply ourselves is the day we're finally going to start seeing progress in our lives."
The $19 billion manager Rokos Capital is an outlier in the increasingly institutional hedge fund industry.
Its billionaire namesake, who was a cofounder of Brevan Howard, runs the majority of the portfolio.
While multistrategy funds are attractive for their diversification, Rokos is appealing for its big bets.
Investors in the billionaire Chris Rokos' eponymous hedge fund had reason to celebrate the reelection of Donald Trump.
The firm made nearly $1 billion in profits the day following Trump's victory, Bloomberg first reported, pushing its year-to-date gains to more than 28% through mid-November.
The macro manager, now running $19 billion, made money across asset classes following the election, when US stocks ripped upward, the dollar strengthened, and Treasury yields jumped โ as did many funds that put on the "Trump trade" before the election.
But very few firms the size of Rokos Capital Management have so much of their portfolio concentrated with a single risk-taker. While Rokos has hired quasi-portfolio managers who can put on trades โ known in the firm's parlance as "investment officers" โ the firm's founder still runs the majority of the portfolio, several people close to the firm said.
As the hedge fund industry's titans have shifted away from macro philosophers to business-building executives, Rokos is a throwback to a time when names like Stanley Druckenmiller and George Soros were on the top of every allocator's wish list.
And the anachronistic London-based manager has ridden its strong performance and, ironically, the movement away from its style of investing to its record size. The biggest investors in the world โ sovereign wealth funds, pensions, endowments, and more โ now need diversification in their portfolios from the sprawling multistrategy managers that often move as a group and put on similar trades.
Against this backdrop, Rokos stands out for its lack of correlation with the industry's biggest names.
"Pensions need the volatility," one Rokos investor at a US pension told Business Insider. Limited partners in Rokos include Canada's main pension fund and Blackstone, people familiar with the firm said.
And after raising another $2 billion in assets earlier this year, Rokos is not slowing down, industry insiders said. The firm declined to comment.
'Deprived' of his abilities
The 54-year-old Oxford-by-way-of-Eton grad cut his teeth at UBS, Goldman Sachs, and, finally, Credit Suisse, where he spent a little over three years trading alongside Alan Howard.
In 2002, Howard, Rokos, and three other Credit Suisse traders left the now-defunct Swiss bank to launch Brevan Howard (the "R" in Brevan is for Rokos).A decade later, the star trader left the manager hoping to start his own investment firm.
A five-year noncompete agreement stopped any immediate plans, though, despite Rokos' lawyers arguing that the sit-out period would leave the public "deprived" of his "skills and hard work."
Eventually, Rokos and Howard settled their dispute, and Howard even backed Rokos' new manager, reports at the time said. Rokos Capital Management launched in the fall of 2015, quickly growing to $3.5 billion before closing to new money.
In a preview of things to come, Rokos profited from Trump's first election in 2016 โ the manager returned close to 20% in its first full year of trading.
Nearing its 10th anniversary, Rokos today resembles the original Brevan more so than the current iteration of Howard's manager. Brevan, which has seen its assets rise and fall thanks to uneven performance over the past decade, is structurally closer to multistrategy managers like Citadel and Millennium as it diversifies assets across risk-takers around the world.
When Brevan launched, Howard was the biggest risk-taker; Now, he no longer trades for the manager, BI reported earlier this year.
Headquartered on the posh London strip known for its bespoke tailoring, Roko's firm has a "Savile Row style" of customization for its founder. The team and research functions are molded to his way of investing, a former employee told BI, even down to the font and color coding of reports.
The goal of the firm's dozens of investment officers, analysts, and researchers โ regulatory filings show that 60 people perform "investment advisory functions" across the firm's London and New York offices โ is to be his "eyes and ears," this person said, adding: "When he had a question, there was a number we could find to answer it."
Rokos' superpower is his ability to monitor positions like "a human quant." One person who worked with him said he knows the positions put on by his investment officers better than they do, despite managing a much larger book.
This person also said he could stay steady in areas he's confident in, even if markets move against him in the short term.
"He's willing to wait through cycles if he believes the risk is worth it," another person who worked for him said.
A demanding place
It wasn't the plan for Rokos to be the only one putting on trades when the firm launched, people familiar with his thinking at the time said, though that was the reality for a number of years.
Several people at the firm at its start said the issue was that he couldn't find people who thought and traded exactly like him. These people said it's a physically demanding place that requires working long hours alongside a founder who constantly questions everything.
"He has a relentless pursuit of the truth," one person said.
As a result, the firm has cycled through several executives and management structures over the years. Mark Edwards, a former Goldman Sachs managing director who joined Rokos at its launch, stepped down from his CEO perch earlier this year, triggering a slew of changes.
Matthew Sebag-Montefiore, a onetime partner at the consultant Oliver Wyman, is now the CEO, while Pria Bakhshi was promoted to the global head of strategic solutions. Quita Ramirez joined last December as the global head of business development, investor relations, and communications from Schonfeld. Dmitry Green and Lauren Fairbairn, both partners, left this year.
Still, Rokos has worked to delegate some of the risk-taking to others. One investor estimated he takes 60% to 70% of the firm's risk, and that may continue to go down.
Several people close to the firm said he's hoping to add more investment officers, specifically in equities. The exact number of investment officers the firm employs is unclear, though a LinkedIn review shows 17 with the title, many of whom are also partners.
Volatility wanted
While it's counterintuitive, the manager's biggest selling point might be the roller-coaster nature of its returns. A 44% surge in 2020 was followed by a 26% drop in 2021. In 2022, when the S&P 500 dropped more than 18%, the manager had its best year on record, with a 51% gain.
With worries the industry might be hitting peak multistrategy, managers with a higher risk-return profile should be more common, the billionaire AQR founder Cliff Asness wrote earlier this year.
Alternatives "are generally more effective in higher-vol versions," he wrote but "mostly (not entirely) missing from the market today and should take on a bigger role."
As Brevan has transformed into a more diversified platform, and the likes of Louis Bacon, Michael Platt, and David Tepper have returned outside capital, allocators and industry insiders said it's hard to find a peer of Rokos'.
Jeffrey Talpins' Element Capital mostly runs internal money after returning funds at the start of the year, and Said Haidar overhauled his manager after a 43% loss in 2023. Paul Tudor Jones has expanded into quant strategies and seeded external funds, though he's still known for big directional bets.
Rokos, a press-shy billionaire whose media mentions are mostly about construction projects at his multimillion-dollar properties, including a 100-bedroom manor that dates to the days of Henry VIII, is in a league of his own, one investor said.
The limit to the firm's growth, this person said, is going to be internal restraints, not external interest.
"He could raise another $2 billion with a snap of his fingers," this person said.
To find deals, Dion McNeeley focuses on how many days a property has been on the market.
The investor targets properties that have been listed for at least three times the average.
The 'days on market' strategy helped him negotiate a seller down by $100,000.
Real-estate investor Dion McNeeley used to prioritize speed when making an offer.
"The first 10 years of investing, I wanted to be fast. I wanted to get an offer in within a day or two of a property hitting the MLS," the veteran investor told Business Insider, referring to the multiple listing service.
Now, with a 16-unit portfolio that generates enough cash flow to more than cover his lifestyle, McNeeley is less focused on acquiring properties quickly and more concerned with finding the best deal. To do so, he's paying attention to one specific metric: the number of days a property has been on the market.
Generally speaking, the longer a home has been on the market, the more motivated the seller will be. "Long" is relative to the average time a home sits on the market, which varies by location. In some areas, the average could be 10; in others, it could be 30.
McNeeley, who studies his market in Tacoma, Washington by looking at listings daily, knows that the average home sits for six to nine days, at least in December of 2024.
His rule of thumb is to take the average and triple it. That's the number you're looking for when looking at listings. In his case, he rounded up the average to 10 and is looking specifically for homes that have been listed for at least 30 days.
When he comes across a property he likes that meets his days-on-market criteria, he makes an offer that will get him the return he's looking for.
For example, the latest property he purchasedโ a duplex that needed a lot of work done โ had been on the market for over 100 days. It was listed for $500,000, but based on the renovations McNeeley would need to complete, he calculated that the deal would only work if he could buy it for significantly less. BI verified all of his property ownership claims.
"I offered 400,000 because that's the number that made sense for me," McNeeley said. His offer initiated a two-month negotiation. "I never moved from 400. It went from 500 to 477 to 444 to 422. When I got another offer accepted somewhere else, I contacted them to say I was pulling my offer. They said, 'We'll take your 400.'"
If you're going after a home that's been on the market for longer than average, there may be something wrong with it, and it's important to do your due diligence. Or, it could simply be listed poorly.
"Maybe the agent was lazy and took bad pictures or doesn't have it listed correctly," said McNeeley.
In his case, it was a bit of both: The property, which he purchased in July 2023, ended up needing $62,000 worth of renovations, which he was prepared for, and it wasn't what it appeared on the listing. It was listed as a single-family home but was actually a duplex, which he found out by calling the gas and utility companies and asking how many meters there were.
"It had two meters for electric and two meters for gas. Everything about this was duplex, but the picture looked like a house, and the realtor listed it as a house," he said.
Talking to the gas company, he learned that the gas hadn't been paid in months and had been shut off, further indicating that he could be working with a motivated seller.
"That's one of the reasons when I offered 400,000, I didn't raise the number," he said, figuring, "If the seller has to sell, they'll take my number. If they don't have to sell, they'll just leave it listed, or they'll take it down and not sell. So, you're not always guaranteed to get a low offer accepted. Sometimes people don't have to sell โ they are just willing to for a higher amount."
Affordability levels are still low with elevated home prices and mortgage rates. A huge jump in mortgage rates to around 6.8% today from under 3% in 2022 has also created a "lock-in" effect, where existing homeowners don't want to sell into a higher mortgage rate environment than when many of them bought โ further limiting home inventory coming onto the market and sending prices soaring even higher.
There's reason to be optimistic, though. The US housing market will see more favorable buying conditions in 2025, according to Danielle Hale, chief economist at Realtor.com. Hale sees two trends that will help encourage existing homeowners to put their homes up for sale.
Existing homeowners have built up home equity
Existing homeowners have reaped big home equity gains in recent years thanks to rapidly rising home values.
Homeowners are also increasing their home equity by making monthly mortgage payments, as those who bought houses a few years ago have had the opportunity to make a sizable dent in their mortgage, Hale said. Homeowners with a smaller mortgage balance may be less sensitive to the higher interest-rate environment of today's housing market.
According to Lawrence Yun, chief economist of the National Association of Realtors, homeowners are feeling richer now thanks to the home equity they've accumulated over the last few years of dizzying home price increases. As a result, more listings are being put on the market.
"If they're using their home equity to make a move, that enables them to either be a cash buyer or take out a very small mortgage," Hale said. "That gives them a bit more flexibility in today's market."
Mortgage rates may become less important to buyers and sellers
Homebuying decisions can also be influenced by factors other than mortgage rates or home prices, according to Hale.
The more time that passes since a homeowner's initial purchase, the more likely it is that they'll have a life change requiring them to move, regardless of the cost of moving, Hale said.
People buy houses for reasons other than financial ones, Hale pointed out. Big life changes that could spur a move include a new job, retirement, marriage, or having children.
"All of these can be reasons that people might make a move even if the costs are more expensive to buy a home," Hale said.
Additionally, consumers might be getting accustomed to high mortgage rates, according to Redfin.
"Buyers realized mortgage rates may not drop below 5%, and probably not below 6%, in the near future," Mimi Trieu, a Redfin real-estate agent, said. Existing homeowners holding off on moving due to high mortgage rates may soon give up on waiting it out.
A more "buyer-friendly" housing market
These changes won't be immediate, but they will have a noticeable impact on the housing market, according to Hale. She believes that the housing market is trending in a more "buyer-friendly direction."
"It's going to take more time," Hale said of the lock-in effect. "But as it diminishes, that's going to free up more sellers."
Lower interest rates โ and subsequently, lower mortgage rates โ would certainly speed up the erosion of the lock-in effect, Hale said. However, even if mortgage rates hover around the 6% range in 2025, which is what Realtor.com expects, the lock-in effect will still fade.
Homebuyers could see a notable change by the end of next year, Hale predicted.
"In mid-2024, 84% of homeowners with a mortgage had a mortgage rate under 6%. We think that by the end of 2025, that share will be 75%," Hale said.