Poll: Republicans split on whether they’re split
The POLITICO Poll shows there’s been a critical split between Trump voters who identify as MAGA — his most loyal supporters — and those who don’t, who make up the softer part of his 2024 coalition.
Key points
- (We’re polling them again soon to see how they may have shifted in the wake of the election.) Republicans voters were torn over whether the midterms would divide their party Before the elections, Republican midterm voters told The POLITICO Poll they were confident about a victory in the House and the Senate.
- While Trump distances himself from the electoral blowout — saying the loss was because he wasn’t on the ballot himself — some Republicans are beginning to weigh what a post-Trump GOP looks like.
- The fracture will persist beyond the election results — and it reflects the fact that Republicans’ voter base has been falling apart on a number of issues over the course of the last year.
In fact, The POLITICO Poll shows they may even get worse.
We might start by looking in the mirror." Trump’s coalition shattered — and many of his voters want to distance from him Some Republicans are directly blaming Trump, who saw his coalition shatter on Tuesday night.
Additional details
- The POLITICO Poll has repeatedly shown that non-MAGA Trump voters break away from their MAGA bedfellows on everything from affordability to ICE to the war in Iran to data centers.
- That’s compared with 45% of Democratic voters who said they expected more unity in their party after the election results — even before they knew what would happen.
- Even ahead of Election Day, Republicans were already torn over how much to blame President Donald Trump for the scale of the defeat, weeks of polling show.
- Here are some key takeaways from what voters were telling us right before they delivered a historically heavy blow to the president.
- A majority of MAGA Trump voters said they would see a midterm election loss as a reason to move closer to Trump’s agenda.
How this summary was made: extractive summary — built from the sources' own reporting. It is drawn only from the reporting of the sources listed below — read the originals for full detail. How we summarize →
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