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Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is likely to keep his job for now, say prediction markets

Platforms including Kalshi and Polymarket were quick to offer wagers on Huang’s future since the CEO acknowledged his affair Sunday, and the early results are in his favor.

✦ Extractive summary — built from the sources' own reporting•From 1 source•1 min read•Updated November 9, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC
Key points
  • The event contracts come a day after Nvidia announced an investigation into Huang, who acknowledged to the company’s board that he had an intimate relationship with a business executive whom U.S.
  • One event contract on Kalshi asking when Huang will leave as Nvidia’s CEO has drawn more than $266,000 in trading volume.
  • Polymarket has also listed a market on when Huang’s resignation or removal as CEO will be announced, drawing more than $305,000 in trading volume.

Traders are already betting on whether embattled Jensen Huang, who admitted to an extramarital affair with a suspected Chinese spy, will stay on as head of Nvidia.

While prediction markets broadly anticipated Democratic gains in the midterms, they favored Republicans in the Texas governor’s race and South Carolina’s Senate race, both of which Democrats ultimately won.

Additional details
  • A separate Kalshi market has drawn roughly $2,500 in trading volume, with traders putting the probability that Huang will testify before Congress by next January at 46%, rising to 79% by next July.
  • With Huang’s future uncertain, traders have turned the corporate scandal into a running forecast of what could happen next, much as they do with other unfolding news.
  • The midterm results bolstered prediction markets’ reputation as forecasting tools.
  • Traders put the probability of his departure before January 2029 at 54%, compared with 52% before January 2028 and 33% before July 2027.
  • The platforms rose to prominence during the 2024 presidential election, when traders favored Donald Trump to win while polls showed a close race between him and Democratic candidate Kamala Harris.

How this summary was made: extractive summary — built from the sources' own reporting. It is drawn only from the reporting of the sources listed below — read the originals for full detail. How we summarize →

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Every article behind this summary — 1 article from 1 outlet

FortuneNovember 9, 2026, 9:31 PM UTC →

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