Fed faces tougher inflation fight as pressure builds for more rate hikes
Why it matters: Fed officials had hoped that a relatively modest series of interest rate hikes would be enough to bring inflation under control — more a recalibration than a tightening campaign.
- What they're saying: "We have got a real inflation issue on our hands that has been developing — and we're going to have to deal with that," Chicago Fed president Austan Goolsbee, who called the inflation data "borderline disturbing," said late Tuesday.
- More than three-quarters of the consumer price basket saw prices rise at an annualized rate exceeding 2% in October, the largest share since August 2022, Charles Schwab's head of macro research Kevin Gordon posted on X.
- Short-term yields have risen more sharply than longer-term yields, a sign that investors expect the Fed may need to raise rates more aggressively than previously anticipated.
Driving the news: Treasury yields are surging after Tuesday's hot inflation report and hawkish commentary from Fed officials — including governor Christopher Waller, who raised the prospect of a supersized rate hike next month.
- Cleveland Fed president Beth Hammack, who dissented against the decision to hold rates steady last month, said she still supported a more gradual approach to raising rates.
- The Cleveland Fed's trimmed-mean Consumer Price Index —which filters out unusually large price swings to give a clearer picture of underlying inflation — rose 0.4% in October, the largest monthly increase since May.
- Fed governor Michelle Bowman said in a speech that falling stock prices, higher borrowing costs and a stronger dollar could weigh on economic growth, particularly in sectors already struggling with high interest rates.
- Yes, but: The Fed may have reason to proceed cautiously even against the backdrop of stubborn inflation.
- But stubbornly high — and increasingly widespread — price pressures are raising the possibility of a more prolonged tightening campaign, with no clear endpoint in sight.
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