• Real estate agent and investor Dana Bull says don't count on rates dropping in 2025.
• Instead, she offers two tips for securing a lower mortgage rate in any environment.
• She advises talking to at least three lenders and considering temporary rate buydowns.

If you're looking to buy a home or invest in real estate in 2025, don't wait for rates to drop before making a move.

"I wouldn't base my whole plan around, 'Well, I keep hearing rates are supposed to drop,'" said investor and agent Dana Bull, noting that current rates are in line with the historical average. "This is kind of where rates sit. So, if they were to drop, that would be great, but I wouldn't be banking on it."

As of December 2024, the average 30-year mortgage rate fell to 6.30% from around 6.56% in November.

That doesn't necessarily mean you'll end up with a rate in the 6-7% range if you're buying property in 2025. Bull, who is financially independent thanks to her personal real estate portfolio and works with buyers in Massachusetts, shared two strategies to lock in a lower-than-average mortgage rate in any environment.

1. Negotiate

"People don't really realize that you can negotiate your rate," said Bull. "I know it's uncomfortable in our culture to feel like you're haggling over a rate, but I think it is really important going into a purchase that you are trying to negotiate the lowest rate possible."

It's especially important in today's environment, she added, as purchase rates are lower than refinance rates: "If I were to go and refinance property right now, I would have a higher rate than somebody who wants to go and buy that same property today. I know everybody just says, 'Buy it, don't worry about it, refinance if rates drop.' But rates need to drop significantly enough for you to be able to go and secure a lower rate as a refi."

Bull recommends talking to three different lenders, including at least one bank and one mortgage lender.

"The banks can be a little bit more nimble," she explained. For a first-time homebuyer, for example, "a bank is going to have access to certain programs versus a mortgage company." That said, "the mortgage companies are often really big, so there are some advantages there."

If you talk to three different lenders, you'll likely get three different rates — and they could vary more than you think, Bull said: "We are seeing so many fluctuations."

If you have a rapport with a lender, you can always give them the chance to match the lowest rate you were offered.

"If they can't, unfortunately, it's a business transaction, so you'll have to make a hard decision," she said. "If somebody comes in with a significantly lower rate and everything else is the same essentially, it does make sense to go with that lower rate, so long as that lender is going to be able to close the deal."

2. Consider a temporary rate buydown

Temporary rate buydowns, which reduce the buyer's interest rate for a limited period, typically between one and three years, have become more popular as rates have increased.

"It's in the form of a buyer credit," explained Bull. "There is a max amount which will depend on several factors, like purchase price and prepaids." As an agent, she works with the lender to determine the exact numbers for each property.

Bull says that she and her clients are turning to buydowns, which are negotiated between buyer and seller, in cases where the properties aren't as competitive, don't have multiple offers, or if they're working with a motivated seller.

"Instead of negotiating something like a closing cost credit or negotiating on price, we might be negotiating something called a '2-1 buydown,'" she explained. This lowers the interest rate for the first two years of a loan. "For instance, the first year, if they were ordinarily going to get an interest rate of 6.5%, we can figure out what amount of money is needed to get them down to 4.5% that first year, and then the second year maybe it steps up to 5.5%. That can shave thousands of dollars off."

This could make sense for a buyer who predicts the first few years of ownership will be cost-heavy, and a lower rate could provide some cushion.

"It's not always something that you can negotiate, and it doesn't always make sense, but there are definitely situations where we're doing it because why not?" said Bull, adding that it's important to consider your priorities before doing so because you can't negotiate everything.

"If you have a seller that's willing to negotiate, then you can decide, 'Should I be negotiating a buydown? Should I be negotiating a credit? Should I be trying to get them to repair stuff at the property?' It's looking at the bigger picture and deciding, as a buyer, what would be most helpful for me at this point?"

• Realtor.com forecasts that home prices will rise slightly in 2025.
• Researchers expect mortgage rates to come down next year but still remain above 6%.
• There's a silver lining: Increased inventory and new construction may offer buyers some relief.

The housing market in 2024 hasn't been kind to those looking for a home: The age of the typical first-time homebuyer increased by three years, mortgage rates stayed firmly above 6%, and some people felt it would be more affordable to keep renting than to buy.

Although Realtor.com's housing forecast predicts some of the same for 2025, there are a few encouraging signs.

Home affordability has improved modestly after reaching the lowest level in decades last year, and transactions have picked up after an eerily quiet 2023.

Danielle Hale, the chief economist at the real-estate listings and data site, said a "Trump bump" could affect the housing market.

"For now, we expect a gradual improvement in housing market dynamics powered by broader economic factors," Hale said in the forecast. "The new administration's policies have the potential to enhance or hamper the housing recovery, and the details will matter."

Most consumers care about what will happen to home prices and mortgage rates, which directly affect their ability to buy a house.

With that in mind, here are five predictions for the housing market in 2025 from Realtor.com.

1. Home prices will drift higher

The median home sale price nationwide is up 32% since 2019, per the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis. However, it was $420,400 in the third quarter of 2024, down a bit from $435,400 a year earlier.

Buyers are holding out for more relief, but it might not come in 2025.

Barring a serious shock, home prices should continue to climb modestly. Realtor.com predicts that home sale prices will increase by 3.7% in 2025, which would be about a $15,000 jump.

"Prices are going to keep rising because we're not going to have a recession," Ralph McLaughlin, a senior economist at Realtor.com, said in an interview with Business Insider. "If you look at the times that home prices fall, it's typically only when there's a recession, and only when people are forced to sell."

Higher home prices may cause buyers to expand their house hunts to more affordable parts of their states or the country, like the Sunbelt. Twelve of the 16 cities that Realtor.com thinks will have double-digit price appreciation in 2025 are in the Southeast or Southwest.

2. Mortgage rates will stay above 6%

The average 30-year mortgage rate has dipped slightly, to 6.7% from a peak of 7.8% a year ago. Rates dropped to a historically low mark of 2.7% in 2021 and have mostly climbed since then. A pair of interest-rate cuts haven't significantly affected mortgage rates.

Next year's economy will be typified by lower interest rates and steady growth, Realtor.com predicted. The firm expects a rate cut in December and then a few more in early 2025.

That means Realtor.com researchers don't expect mortgage rates to drop dramatically next year, projecting that the 30-year will stay above the 6% threshold and be at 6.2% by the end of 2025.

3. Rents will be roughly the same

Rent growth may stall, as Realtor.com expects US apartment prices to fall 0.1%.

That's largely thanks to a major increase in rental unit inventory. Real-estate site Zumper found that the supply of new apartments in the US hit its highest level in five decades this summer.

"What we've seen over the past couple years is a large uptick in new multi-family construction, and they tend to be released all at once," McLaughlin said. "And so it can have very sharp and especially isolated impacts on rents — in particular — in urban areas where they are built."

Construction trends suggest the rental stock should increase in all parts of the country, but especially in the South, Realtor.com said. New homes and apartments could lead to lower rents in some cities and states.

Landlords may also struggle to raise rent substantially in a strong economy with lower mortgage rates, since renters could walk away from bidding wars and look at buying homes instead.

"When incomes grow enough in the rental segment, those renters tend to convert over to owners," McLaughlin said. "They typically won't use their incomes to bid up rents more — they'll just go and, if they can afford it, they'll go buy a house."

McLaughlin added: "Those that continue to stay renting, landlords don't have the ability necessarily to raise rents at the rates that price growth plays out in most markets."

Still, inventory increases may not translate to meaningful discounts on homes or rental units. Prices almost always rise over time along with the population size and money supply, so while apartments may be easier to find, those pining for pre-pandemic prices could be disappointed.

4. The market will be high on housing supply

Next year's housing market may be marked by sizable increases in home and apartment supply.

An 11.7% jump in existing home inventory and a 13.8% surge in single-family home starts will usher in the first "balanced" housing market in nine years, Realtor.com predicted. That would mean neither buyers nor sellers will have disproportionate leverage in 2025.

New single-family homes are expected to reach 1.1 million, the most since 2006. That should give prospective buyers more chances to score a home.

"While more inventory means buyers will likely have more time to make purchase decisions in 2025, in any market, a fast-acting buyer will have a higher likelihood of making the winning offer," Hale said in the report.

Homes have been in short supply for decades. Despite an uptick in construction, Freddie Mac estimated that the US needed 3.7 million more units to offset the shortage, as of last quarter.

Continued supply improvements mean there should be 4.1 months of homes available in 2025, up from 3.7 months now, Realtor.com said. The National Association of Realtors, a competing firm, reported last month that there was already 4.2 months' supply of existing homes available.

5. Home sales will surge

The housing boom during the pandemic devolved into a bust in 2022 and 2023 — a year in which home transactions reached their lowest levels in decades as housing affordability tanked.

Buyers and sellers are holding out for lower rates, and in the meantime, sales have stagnated.

"What I say to agents very often is, 'We're in a recession of transactions,' which is a different situation than the rest of the economy," Leo Pareja, the CEO of real-estate brokerage giant eXp Realty, said in a recent interview with Business Insider.

Many would-be buyers have been priced out of the market, while those hoping to move were reluctant to sacrifice their modest mortgages. In fact, about 84% of US mortgages are at rates below 5%, Pareja said. For that reason, many baby boomers have held onto their homes, giving younger buyers fewer options.

"If you're locked in at a 3.5% rate — even if you found your dream home, swapping that for a 6.8% rate is virtually impossible," Pareja said.

Lower mortgage rates and higher supply should spark a turnaround for home transactions. Pareja and his colleagues at eXp see sales activity rising 10% next year — far above Realtor.com's 1.5% forecast.

While the housing market overall may still favor sellers, more homes for sale can help buyers secure better deals and more concessions.

President-elect Donald Trump's policies may also be a tailwind for sales activity. Stock-market strategists mostly agree that tax cuts and deregulation will boost business confidence, and McLaughlin suspects that could rub off on homebuyers.

"If you're talking about the resale market, the existing-homes market, it's hard not to become optimistic about just the broader economy, because of things like tax cuts and other benefits to households that might put more money in their pocket at the end of the day," McLaughlin said.

He added, "That might encourage them to go out and either buy a home if they don't currently own one — or grade up to a house maybe they've been waiting to over the last few years."

• Barbara Corcoran says it's "disturbing" how young people are being locked out of the housing market.
• The "Shark Tank" investor pointed to first-time buyers getting older and losing out to cash buyers.
• Corcoran said Trump-fueled inflation and stubborn rates are risks, and she doesn't see a bubble.

High prices, steep mortgage rates, and fierce competition are locking young people out of becoming homeowners, Barbara Corcoran says.

The "Shark Tank" investor and real-estate tycoon pointed to "disturbing" data from the 2024 NAR Profile of Home Buyers and Sellers during a recent interview on "Cavuto: Coast to Coast" on the Fox Business Network.

The founder of The Corcoran Group said the share of first-time buyers dropped from 32% last year to a record low of 24%. The percentage of cash buyers — who tend to be investors or second-home buyers — hit a record high of 26%. Plus, the median age of first-time buyers climbed from 35 to 38.

The report suggests that first-time buyers are increasingly being outbid by investors or people buying second or third homes who are paying in cash, and many are having to wait until they're nearly 40 to become homeowners.

All about that rate

The median sale price for existing homes rose 4% to $407,200 in October, marking the 16th straight month of year-over-year price gains, per the National Association of Realtors. Sales did rise 2.9% from a year earlier, the first year-over-year increase since the summer of 2021.

Corcoran said transactions had picked up because buyers were used to higher rates and "got tired of waiting" for them to dip. Yet she emphasized that a significant fall in rates would be "incredible" for home sales.

"Anything with a 5% in front of it is going to make this market go ballistic," she said.

Bankrate data shows the average 30-year mortgage rate soared from 3.2% at the end of 2021 to a two-decade high of 7.9% in October last year, but has since dropped to 6.9%.

President-elect Trump's plans to cut taxes and impose tariffs have stoked fears that price growth could accelerate, pushing rates higher. "Inflation is on everyone's mind and I think it's risky," Corcoran said.

She predicted mortgage rates would hover around 6% or go lower. Any rise "would slow down the market, it would slow down the whole economy, it would slow down all the support services for the housing market — it would be a terrible thing."

Corcoran also dismissed concerns that the housing market is overheated and headed for a slump. She cited the low percentage of home purchases made as investments, saying a surfeit of investors "creates a bubble big time."

"This is nothing like the last bubble," she said. "I don't see a bubble at all."