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A powerful solar storm is due to hit Earth on New Year's Eve, sparking beautiful auroras. Here's how to see them.

The northern lights over snowy mountains by the water.

biletskiyevgeniy.com/Shutterstock

  • A powerful solar storm due to hit the Earth on Tuesday could spark brilliant auroras.
  • Auroras could be seen as far south as Wyoming, Wisconsin, and New York.
  • Expect to see more auroras in coming months now that the sun has reached peak activity.

A pair of powerful geomagnetic storms are due to strike Earth on Tuesday and Wednesday, causing dazzling auroras across the planet which may be seen farther south than usual.

The coming auroras have been predicted after the sun recently released some plasma during two coronal mass ejections that are currently traveling toward us at breakneck speeds.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration predicts the first wave of plasma will reach the Earth on Tuesday, exciting our outer atmosphere and helping auroras shine.

NOAA added that neither CME is expected to hit Earth directly, making it difficult to forecast the aurora's intensity and when exactly it will appear. It could begin as early as sunrise or as late as after nightfall.

The forecast currently shows that the auroras could reach as low as Wyoming, Wisconsin, and New York in the US. On the other side of the globe, auroras could appear across Scotland, Northern Ireland, and parts of northern England.

illustration showing tonight's aurora forecast, northern light could reach as low as Wyoming Wisconsin, and new york
Tonight's aurora forecast shows that the aurora could appear lower than usual.

NOAA

Here's how to spot the dazzling spectacle:

How to spot and snap the aurora

Before heading out, check the aurora forecast on the NOAA website to see if you can see the aurora in your area.

NOAA predicts the first storm could hit as a strong (G3) storm and the second is expected to be minor (G1).

Geomagnetic storms are notoriously hard to forecast and when it reaches the Earth, the storm could be weaker. Or it could be stronger.

An example is a G4 storm that hit the Earth in March of 2023 and caused aurora seen as far as Phoenix, Arizona. It had originally been expected to be a G3, but a later eruption of the sun made the storm more powerful.

pink and green aurora light up the night sky
Auroras in La Crosse, Wisconsin on March 24, 2023.

NWS La Crosse

NOAA said it will have a better idea of the New Year's Eve forecast when the CMEs reach 1 million miles from Earth, about 30-60 minutes before they strike our planet.

If you have clear skies, head for a place where there is low light pollution, away from city lights.

Prepare for cold weather with blankets and hot beverages. You may have used your phone or looked at screens to get you where you need to go, so be patient, and let your eyes adjust to the darkness.

You can try to snap pictures of the auroras with a camera, but make sure not to transfer it too quickly from a hot to a cold environment to avoid condensation, according to the Royal Photographic Society.

Preset your camera before leaving a warmer space so your fingers don't get too cold β€” higher aperture may be better, but you may have to adjust your settings if the aurora is moving quickly (you can find information on how to set SLR cameras here.)

This storm is caused by a powerful solar flare

X-class solar flare erupting off the sun.
The sun ejected this X-class solar flare in 2023.

NASA/SDO

The sun has been especially active over the last 48 hours. It's released many M-class solar flares as well as an X-class flare β€” the most powerful type.

The radiation from these flares travel at the speed of light. Some reached Earth, causing some minor radio signal blackouts over the last couple of days.

Some of the flares also hurtled two coronal mass ejections (CME), a cloud of plasma and magnetic fields, toward our planet.

The first CME scheduled to reach our planet on New Year's Eve is likely associated with a recent M2 solar flare. The CME left the sun on Sunday at 1 a.m. ET, according to SpaceWeatherLive.

CMEs travel more slowly, though they can still reach speeds of about 600 miles per second. As the CME reaches our ionosphere β€” a charged layer that surrounds the Earth β€” it will excite particles in the sky that light up to create the aurora.

Expect more of these aurora-brightening solar events in the coming months

coronal hole
A coronal hole rotates across the face of the sun, streaming solar wind towards Earth in 2017.

NASA/GSFC/Solar Dynamics Observatory

Powerful geomagnetic storms are becoming more common now that the sun has reached solar maximum, which happens when our star's poles flip, causing havoc with magnetic fields at the solar surface.

As the sun's peak activity continues we can also expect to see more stunning solar phenomena like a plasma vortex, a massive coronal "hole" in our sun, and a solar "tornado".

Space weather isn't just pretty

If this week's solar storm hits at a G3 level, there shouldn't be much adverse effect on our planet's infrastructure.

However, because our sun is at solar maximum, scientists have warned that we could be at higher risk for more powerful solar storms β€” up to G5.

These bursts of electromagnetic energy can be quite dangerous, as they affect everything from the power grid to GPS signals.

As the magnetic fields from the sun crash into the Earth, they can also cause grid surges that can overwhelm power systems and underwater pipelines.

On March 10, 1989, a huge solar flare caused a storm that surged the Quebec power grid, which was out of commission for eight long hours on a weekday morning, affecting about 6 million people.

Moreover, geostorms can make the atmosphere more dense which can crash satellites, as was the case in February 2022, when 40 of 49 of SpaceX's Starlink satellites launched into orbit were knocked out of commission.

Charged particles from the sun can also glitch electronic materials. This usually goes unnoticed, but on rare occasions, these particles have been linked to water mines exploding. People have even attributed their pacemaker glitches to these solar particles.

This story was originally published on April 24, 2023, and was updated to reflect information from the latest storm due to cause bright auroras.

Read the original article on Business Insider

The Arctic tundra is changing so fast that it is speeding up the climate crisis, top scientists say

man wearing gear helmet walks down train track in forest toward giant smoke plume
A member of a fire crew makes their way to the Riley Fire in Denali National Park and Preserve, Alaska

Paul Ollig/National Park Service via AP

  • The Arctic is rapidly changing from the climate crisis, with no "new normal," scientists warn.
  • Wildfires and permafrost thaw are making the tundra emit more carbon than it absorbs.
  • From beaver invasions to giant holes, drastic changes in the Arctic are affecting the entire planet.

From Alaska to Siberia, the Arctic is changing so rapidly that there is no "normal" there now, scientists warn. The consequences reach across the globe.

The Arctic tundra now releases more carbon than it naturally draws down from the sky, as wildfires burn down its trees and permafrost thaw releases potent gases from its soil.

Once-brown regions are turning green with vegetation, while green areas are turning brown and barren. Sea ice and herds of caribou are disappearing.

This summer was the wettest on record for the Arctic overall, as rain is becoming more common than snow in some areas. Region by region, though, rainfall and the snow season are knocking down both high and low records.

Decades of data on "vital signs" suggest that "the Arctic exists now within a new regime, in which conditions year after year are substantially different than just a couple of decades ago," Twila Moon, a scientist at the National Snow and Ice Data Center, said in a briefing on Tuesday.

"Climate change is not bringing about a new normal," she added. "Instead, climate change is bringing ongoing and rapid change."

That's because the Arctic is warming about four times faster than the rest of the planet, according to previous research.

The increase in average temperatures is changing weather and landscapes in the Arctic, speeding up the climate crisis worldwide.

Giant holes, beaver invasions, and polar wildfires

For example, beavers are moving into Alaska's tundra and transforming its waterways with their dams, as warmer conditions have brought more wooded, comfortable riverbanks for them.

In Siberia, a giant hole in the ground is rapidly growing because the permafrost β€”Β a layer of soil that used to be permanently frozen β€”Β is thawing.

satellite images of large green forest area with giant pit shaped like a stingray where the side by side images show the pit double in size
Satellite images from 1999 and 2017 show how much the Batagaika megaslump has grown (and how much satellite imaging has improved).

NASA Earth Observatory/Jesse Allen/Landsat data from the US Geological Survey

That's an extreme example, but melt and thaw is happening all over the planet's northernmost regions. Combined with drastic swings in weather year-to-year, these changes are wreaking havoc on Arctic landscapes, ecosystems, and people.

"These dramatic differences are making it difficult for communities to plan and they create safety issues for people who are used to more stable ice, snow, and temperature," Moon said.

gravel road abruptly ends crumbling into running water two feet below in rural setting with a few homes
Melting permafrost and the disappearance of sea ice, which once formed a protective barrier, threaten houses in the Yupik Eskimo village of Quinhagak in Alaska.

Mark Ralston/AFP/Getty Images

She was presenting the Arctic Report Card, an update that the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration publishes each year, at the fall meeting of the American Geophysical Union.

This year's report revealed a crucial shift in northern landscapes: The Arctic tundra is no longer a net carbon sink, with its boreal forests pulling carbon dioxide from the sky. Now it's a net source of carbon emissions.

"This transition from a carbon sink to a source is of global concern," Brendan Rogers, a scientist studying the tundra at the Woodwell Climate Research Center, said in the briefing.

He added that the tundra's carbon emissions are relatively small for now, "but it's that transition that we're concerned about."

This shift is partly due to giant polar wildfires burning down tundra vegetation and all the carbon it's stored. It's also because of permafrost thaw, which releases large amounts of methane β€”Β a heat-trapping gas more potent than carbon dioxide β€” as bacteria in the soil digest thawing plant matter.

Meanwhile, rising Arctic temperatures are driving ice melt, including on the Greenland Ice Sheet, which is a major contributor to sea-level rise worldwide. Rising oceans are already increasing flooding in coastal cities across the planet.

For example, US coastal cities from Boston to San Diego have seen more and more flood days per year every decade since 1950, according to the Environmental Protection Agency.

Arctic science is more important than ever

Reporters asked the NOAA scientists about the incoming Trump administration and whether they were concerned about losing funding for their Arctic research.

"The need, the requirement, the demand signal if you will, is higher than ever before," Richard Spinrad, the NOAA Administrator, said in the briefing.

Changes in extreme weather and sea level across the globe show that "there's a need for these investments to increase right now," he said, adding that studies have shown "the return on those investments is extraordinary, in many cases 10 to 1 in terms of protection of lives and property."

Read the original article on Business Insider

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