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Trump the central planner

President Trump may paint China as the enemy, but lately he's been awfully fond of their command-economy playbook.

Why it matters: Trump's extraordinary interventions โ€” which dovetail with what some critics have labeled "MAGA Maoism" โ€” are rattling businesses, consumers and investors, and throwing global markets into turmoil.


The big picture: Trump has already stretched the power of the presidency to remake the government in his image. Now he's trying to do the same with Corporate America.

  • Trump spooked markets on Friday by threatening Apple with huge financial risk if it doesn't move iPhone manufacturing to the U.S. โ€” later expanding his threat to Samsung and other phone makers.
  • He has demanded Walmart absorb the cost of his tariffs to avert price hikes for consumers, warning on Truth Social: "I'll be watching."
  • He's ignored a law that was supposed to ban TikTok in the U.S. if its Chinese parent company did not divest, embracing the app after it proved useful to his 2024 campaign.
  • He's even told parents to buy fewer cheap toys from China amid the threat of supply chain shortages, saying that "maybe the children will have two dolls instead of 30 dolls."

Reality check: Politicians routinely use their bully pulpit or pull policy levers to control prices of critical goods.

  • The difference is that Trump was the one who directly set the price hikes in motion by raising tariffs.

Between the lines: Trump has not been shy about using his presidential authority to control the economy.

  • In an interview with Time magazine, Trump compared the U.S. market to "the biggest department store in history" and said he would determine the price of entry with tariffs.
  • "[O]n behalf of the American people, I own the store, and I set prices, and I'll say, if you want to shop here, this is what you have to pay."

Yes, but: The White House says the administration is making an effort to help the free market lower prices, as distinct from traditional notions of "price controls."

  • "Our full suite of supply-side reforms โ€” rapid deregulation, domestic energy production, and tax cuts โ€” along with our America First trade policies have now delivered multiple below-expectation inflation reports, robust jobs reports, trillions in historic investment commitments, and a UK trade agreement that opened up billions of dollars in export opportunities for American producers, with many more custom-tailored trade deals to come," White House spokesman Kush Desai said this week.

Flashback: There's plenty of history of presidents and other top government officials jawboning the market.

  • Biden urged grocery stories to lower prices and took credit when Target did, albeit in limited fashion.
  • That was nothing compared to Nixon, who in 1971 froze prices and wages for 90 days to push inflation down. It wasย "economically ineffective and politically disastrous," Politico wrote last year.

The intrigue: Since Nixon's failed experiment, price controls and other command-like economic moves have been kryptonite to conservatives.

  • Now the tides have shifted.
  • Trump and his supporters have argued that Americans should act in the national interest at their own personal and corporate cost.

And if not? Watch out for a not-so-veiled threat on Truth Social, which risks quickly turning into something bigger (as China itself can attest).

The bottom line: The U.S. may be a capitalist democracy, but Trump wouldn't mind a little more direct control over the economy.

Poll: Most Americans still support some goals of the 2020 racial reckoning

Most Americans say they still support goals of the 2020 racial reckoning, including increasing diversity in the workplace and school curricula and recognizing the legacy of enslavement, per a recent survey.

The big picture: Five years after George Floyd's death led to global protests, many of the corporate and institutional pledges inspired by them have fizzled under Trump 2.0. But the survey found glimmers of support for the ideas the protests helped make more mainstream.


  • Broadly, support for the Black Lives Matter movement is down, and President Trump made rolling back DEI and cracking down on immigration a second-term priority.
  • While much of the 2020 protests focused on policing, they also targeted a lack of diversity in corporate boards, universities built on slave labor, Confederate monuments and stolen Indigenous lands.

By the numbers: A majority of Americans (54%) agree that "efforts to increase diversity almost always strengthen an organization's workforce," the survey published in April by the nonpartisan Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) found.

  • Eight in ten Americans (80%) say they prefer the U.S. be made up of people from all over the world. That group included 91% of Democrats, 83% of independents, and 73% of Republicans.
  • Just 15% said they prefer the country be primarily made up of people of Western European heritage.
  • 51% are more likely to agree that "generations of slavery and discrimination against Black people and Native Americans have given white people unfair economic advantages."
  • 86% agree that the nation's schools "should teach American history that includes both our best achievements and our worst mistakes."

Yes, but: Only around four in ten Americans (43%) hold favorable views of the Black Lives Matter Movement, while 49% had unfavorable views.

What they're saying: The success of BLM demonstrations can't be measured just by which police reforms passed and didn't, Phillip Atiba Solomon, CEO and co-founder of the Center for Policing Equity, tells Axios.

  • "The protests were about signaling the past due notice on an unpaid debt owed to the descendants of former slaves."
  • Solomon says those debts involved acknowledgement of past discrimination and the barriers that still exist.

David J. Johns, CEO and executive director of the National Black Justice Collective, tells Axios it's important to build on the lingering goals of the reckoning and form new coalitions.

  • "The goal is to really tap into that, to affirm for our folks that they're not crazy, that democracy has to be defended with each generation."

Methodology: The PRRI American Values Survey was conducted online from Feb. 28 to March 20. The poll is based on a representative sample of 5,025 adults (age 18 and older) living in all 50 states and the District of Columbia who are part of Ipsos' Knowledge Panelยฎ.

  • The margin of sampling error is +/- 1.69 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, for results based on the entire sample.

Israel is losing almost all its allies as it forges on in Gaza

Many of Israel's closest international allies have broken publicly with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's government for its relentless pummeling of Gaza and freezing of desperately needed humanitarian aid.

Why it matters: Netanyahu had unprecedented international legitimacy to fight back against Hamas after the Oct. 7 attacks. But a gradual decline in support as the war dragged on has now turned into a diplomatic tsunami.


Driving the news: Netanyahu lost many of his remaining friends in the West, outside of the U.S., over the last two months after terminating a ceasefire in March and blocking all deliveries of food, water and medicine to Gaza.

What they're saying: "We will not stand by while the Netanyahu Government pursues these egregious actions. If Israel does not cease the renewed military offensive and lift its restrictions on humanitarian aid, we will take further concrete actions in response," President Emmanuel Macron of France, Prime Minister Mark Carney of Canada and Prime Minister Keir Starmer of the U.K. said in a joint statement on May 19.

  • Netanyahu responded with fury, accusing the three in a video statement of doing Hamas' bidding. "They want Israel to stand down and accept that Hamas's army of mass murderers will survive, rebuild and repeat the October 7th massacre again and again and again because that's what Hamas has vowed to do."
  • "I say to President Macron, Prime Minister Carney and Prime Minister Starmer: When mass murderers, rapists, baby killers and kidnappers thank you, you're on the wrong side of justice. You're on the wrong side of humanity and you're on the wrong side of history."

State of play: Israel's isolation is moving beyond mere rhetoric.

  • The U.K. on Thursday announced it was suspending trade negotiations with Israel and imposed new sanctions Thursday against Israeli settlers involved in violent attacks against Palestinians.
  • France is expected to co-host a conference with Saudi Arabia next month to push for a two-state solution, and is expected to formally recognize a Palestinian state.
  • Spain already recognized a Palestinian state last year, along with Norway and Ireland, and Prime Minister Pedro Sanchez last week labeled Israel a "genocidal state" and called for it to be banned from the Eurovision song contest.
  • 17 of 27 EU foreign ministers backed a motion on Tuesday brought by the Netherlands, another key Israeli ally, to reconsider the bloc's trade and cooperation pact with Israel.

The other side: Netanyahu and his government have responded to the criticism by accusing European leaders of antisemitism and claiming they're caving to pressure from the Muslim minorities in their countries. But Israel also agreed to allow some aid into Gaza for the first time since March.

Behind the scenes: In a series of Security Council meetings back in March, Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar warned Netanyahu that suspending humanitarian aid would not weaken Hamas, but would drive away Israel's allies.

  • Eventually, Israel would have to cave and resume the aid under pressure, Sa'ar argued, according to a senior Israeli official.
  • "This is exactly what happened. It was a huge mistake and was done mostly for domestic political considerations," the official said.

What to watch: While Trump seems to have cooled on his own plan to expel all 2 million Palestinians from Gaza to build a new "riviera," Netanyahu said last week for the first time that the war won't end until that plan is implemented.

  • The Netanyahu government sees it as a green light for pursuing "voluntary migration" โ€” a code name for mass displacement of the entire population first into a "humanitarian zone" in Gaza and the, ideally, abroad.
  • If Israel follows through on that plan, which involves leveling virtually all of Gaza, it will almost certainly further isolate itself internationally.

America's manufacturing future still needs foreign robots

The Trump administration's vision for a U.S. manufacturing renaissance includes highly automated factories and a more efficient American workforce โ€” all of which will still require tons of foreign robots.

Why it matters: The administration is trying to fixย decades of disinvestment in domestic manufacturing, but can't, for now, without relying on foreign companies to supply the advanced robotics needed to catch up with the rest of the world.


The big picture: Re-shoring U.S. manufacturing is deemed critical to national and economic security.

  • But labor shortages and pressure from lower-cost competitors mean those factories will need to be more automated than ever. Automation is no longer a luxury, it's a necessity.
  • "This is how you compete today," Jeff Burnstein, president of the Association for Advancing Automation, tells Axios. "You have to take advantage of the best tools available."

Where it stands: Trump has pushed hard on carmakers in particular to build domestically. The U.S. auto industry is already highly automated, ranking fifth in the ratio of robots to factory workers (tied with Japan and Germany and ahead of China), according to International Federation of Robotics data.

  • While other industries like pharmaceuticals, agriculture and logistics are rapidly adding automation, the U.S. lags behind other nations in non-auto sectors.

Yes, but: The majority of industrial robots used in America are imported.

  • Japan, China, Germany and South Korea produce 70 percent of the world's robots, according to IFR.
  • Swiss giant ABB says it is the only major global robot company with a U.S. manufacturing base. About 75% of the robots it sells in the U.S. are built in Michigan.
  • Others like Fanuc and Kuka manufacture most of their robots overseas, then ship them to the U.S. for final assembly and testing. (Fanuc does export some paint robots from the U.S., however.)
  • U.S.-based robot system integrators then install the automation systems in American factories.

Flashback: The U.S. used to dominate the robotics industry in the 1960s, starting with the world's first industrial robot installed at a General Motors plant in 1961.

  • Union resistance, along with a lack of investment or government support, left an opening for Japan, which by the late 1960s saw robotics as a growth strategy. European companies soon followed.

Now, Chinese robot manufacturers are growing rapidly, in part because China's government has made roboticsโ€”including humanoid robotsโ€”a strategic priority under its Made in China 2025 initiative.

What they're saying: White House officials acknowledge that reshoring manufacturing will require significant upfront investment in fixed equipment like robots, but insist those cost pressures will ease with tax incentives in the budget that just passed the House.

  • As to the reliance on foreign suppliers, a White House official said "our efforts to reshore manufacturing that's critical to national and economic security directly address this."

What's next: Many U.S. companies are developing futuristic factory-focused robots, particularly in humanoid form factors, including Agility, Apptronik, Figure and Tesla.

  • "It's another chance for the U.S. to lead," says Burnstein, whose organization is calling for a national robotics policy similar to China's.
  • Morgan Stanley predicts a $5 billion humanoid market by 2050, but the future is no substitute for demand now.

What killing penny coins means for you and how it will change shopping

The penny coin is getting phased out, a cost-cutting move that could ripple through consumer behavior, retailers' pricing strategies and cash transactions.

Why it matters: It'll be harder to make sense out of cents and get exact change after the one-cent coin's upcoming demise.


  • The penny's removal may impact how prices are rounded, potentially affecting both businesses and consumers โ€” especially those who rely on cash.

Pinching pennies: When will penny production stop?

The big picture: President Trump directed the Treasury to stop producing new pennies back in February. The U.S. Treasury confirmed Thursday the U.S. Mint will stop making the coins early next year.

  • The Mint will stop making pennies after it runs out of the blank templates used to make the one-cent coins, the Treasury Department told Axios.
  • The final order of blanks was placed this month, a Treasury spokesperson said.

The Canadian penny was discontinued for production in 2012.

  • Australia and New Zealand stopped producing their lowest-denomination coins decades ago.

Cost to make penny, nickel, dime and quarter

By the numbers: The cost of making a penny increased 20% in the 2024 fiscal year, the Treasury told Axios.

  • Over the past 10 years, the total production cost of the penny has risen from 1.3 cents to 3.69 cents per penny.
  • The Mint said reported losing $85.3 million on the nearly 3.2 billion pennies it produced in the 2024 fiscal year. The Treasury said stopping production will save the government $56 million a year in reduced material costs.

Yes, but: The nickel is even more expensive to make and costs 13.78 cents to make each 5-cent coin, the Mint's 2024 annual report shows.

  • It costs 5.76 cents to make the 10-cent dime and 14.68 cents to make the 25-cent quarter.

The death of prices ending in 99 cents, penny loafers

State of play: The Treasury told WSJ businesses will need to start rounding up or down to the nearest 5 cents when there's not enough pennies to use in everyday cash transactions.

  • Cashless transactions will still be priced at exact change.
  • State and local governments should provide guidance to retailers so that sales taxes are properly collected, WSJ reports.
  • This is expected to change how retailers price items and end 99-cent pricing that has been known to influence buying decisions.

The intrigue: Will the penny loafer also get a rebrand with the penny's disappearance?

  • "It will be a dime loafer," Martha Stewart said in February at New York Fashion Week, the New York Times reported.

Who uses cash over credit and debit cards?

Zoom in: Cash accounted for 16% of all payments, according to the Federal Reserve's 2024 Diary of Consumer Payment Choice.

  • It's the third most-used payment type after credit and debit cards.
  • Consumers younger than age 55 used cash for just 12% of payments in 2023, compared to 22% for those age 55 and older.

Between the lines: Low-income and older Americans are more likely to use cash, raising concerns about fairness and unintended consequences if rounding isn't consumer-friendly.

  • Jay Zagorsky, author of the book "The Power of Cash: Why Using Paper Money is Good for You and Society," told the Associated Press Congress must include language in any proposed legislation to require rounding up in pricing.
  • This would eliminate demand for pennies, said Zagorsky, a Boston University professor.
  • "If we suddenly have to produce a lot of nickels โ€” and we lose more money on producing every nickel โ€” eliminating the penny doesn't make any sense," Zagorsky said.

Billions of coins in jars and piggybanks

Follow the money: A 2022 Federal Reserve report found $14 billion โ€” about 60% of actively circulating coins โ€” is in jars.

  • Coinstar CEO Kevin McColly told Axios that the nation has billions of coins sitting immobile in different parts of the system.
  • "Essentially, we have enough coins, but they're not flowing properly through our economy, creating unnecessary pressure to mint new ones despite adequate existing supply," McColly said, adding Coinstar has 50 million annual transactions through its kiosks.

More from Axios:

Trump at West Point graduation lauds "Golden Age" as anti-DEI and pro-defense

President Trump gave the commencement address for the U.S. Military Academy at West Point on Saturday, in his speech refusing to cut the $1 trillion military budget and praising who he called the "first West Point graduates of the Golden Age."

The big picture: The speech follows the president's directive via Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth to launch a nationwide review of military academies targeting for cuts any initiative perceived to enhance diversity, equity and inclusion.


What he's saying: Trump referenced his anti-DEI focus, bragging that he's "liberated our troops from divisive and demeaning political trainings."

Zoom in: He also championed building up the Armed Forces, "a build up like we've never had before," Trump called it.

  • He promised new "stealth planes" and again publicized his mass deportation plan and promised Golden Dome missile defense shield to be completed before he leaves office.
  • Then, he moved on to promoting his trade policies, accusing other countries of "ripping off" America.
  • "You have to watch what we're doing on trade," he said.

See other moments from the commencement:

"You chose honor and you chose sacrifice," President Trump told graduates earlier during the commencement address. Photo: Michael M. Santiago/ Getty Images
Trump told graduates later during his commencement address: "Hold on to your cultures and your traditions." Photo: Michael M. Santiago/ Getty Images
Trump arrives to deliver the commencement address. Photo: Charly Triballeau/ AFP via Getty Images
Trump shakes hands with U.S. Military Academy West Point superintendent Lt. Gen. Steven W. Gilland. Photo: Michael M. Santiago/ Getty Images
Trump arrives at West Point. This year's graduating class included honorary member Peter Wang, a junior ROTC cadet who was killed in the 2018 mass shooting at Marjory Stoneman Douglas High School in Parkland, Florida. Photo: Michael M. Santiago/ Getty Images
Cadets watch ahead of commencement ceremonies. Photo: Michael M. Santiago/ Getty Images
More than 1,000 cadets are expected to graduate in the same year that the U.S. Army celebrates its 250th birthday. Photo: Charly Triballeau/ AFP via Getty Images

Go deeper:

Planned Parenthood to close 8 centers across Iowa, Minnesota amid federal funding cuts

Planned Parenthood North Central States said Friday that it plans to close over a third of its health centers across Minnesota and Iowa and lay off dozens of staff members in light of looming federal funding cuts and other budget constraints.

State of play: The announcement from Minnesota's largest abortion provider came just one day after the U.S. House passed a reconciliation bill that it says would "defund" Planned Parenthood and make deep cuts to Medicaid funding.


Driving the news: Leaders of the regional affiliate cited that move, along with the Trump administration's decision to freeze $2.8 million in Title X funds used for birth control and cancer screenings and a proposal to cut teen pregnancy prevention aid as key factors in the decision to consolidate its centers.

  • Shifting patient preferences and broader challenges facing the health care sector, including stagnant reimbursement rates and staff shortages, also contributed, it said in a release.

By the numbers: Planned Parenthood North Central States (PPNCS) says it provides sexual and reproductive health care, including abortions, to an estimated 93,000 people across Iowa, Minnesota, Nebraska, North Dakota, and South Dakota each year.

  • Over 30% of its patients rely on Medicaid, per a release.

Between the lines: While federal funds generally cannot be used for abortions, critics of abortion rights have long sought to prevent any taxpayer money from flowing to the organization.

What they're saying: PPNCS president Ruth Richardson said the "heart wrenching" decision to consolidate operations was meant to "ensure Planned Parenthood is here for years to come."

  • "We have been fighting to hold together an unsustainable infrastructure as the landscape shifts around us and an onslaught of attacks continues," she said in a statement.

Zoom in: The list of eight sites slated to close in the coming year includes several in the Twin Cities metro. Four Iowa health care centers โ€” including its only facility that provides abortions in that state โ€” and two in Greater Minnesota will also shutter:

  • Ames Health Center (Ames, Iowa)
  • Alexandria Health Center (Alexandria, Minnesota)
  • Apple Valley Health Center (Apple Valley, Minn.)
  • Bemidji Health Center (Bemidji, Minnesota)
  • Cedar Rapids Health Center (Cedar Rapids, Iowa)
  • Richfield Health Center (Richfield, Minnesota)
  • Sioux City Health Center (Sioux City, Iowa)
  • Urbandale Health Center (Urbandale, Iowa)

Plus: PPNCS will also lay off 66 staff members and offer 37 others the opportunity to be reassigned as part of the reorganization.

Zoom out: Minnesota has seen an increase in both abortions and out-of-state patients seeking abortion care in the wake of the 2022 U.S. Supreme Court decision overturning Roe v. Wade.

The bottom line: Planned Parenthood said its 15 remaining health centers across the chapter's region, including about a dozen in Minnesota and Iowa, will remain open.

  • Those sites, combined with virtual care, serve about 80% of its current patient population.
  • "Make no mistake: care may look different but Planned Parenthood North Central States is here to stay," Richardson said.

OpenAI's latest power move: Cast Sam Altman as a new Steve Jobs

OpenAI's latest power move in the AI race is to cast CEO Sam Altman as a Steve Jobs for the new era.

Why it matters: Jobs remains Silicon Valley's most revered founder, and since his 2011 death no industry figure has been able to match his success at product innovation, strategy and marketing.


Driving the news: This week OpenAI nabbed Jony Ive, the design guru who closely collaborated with Jobs to shape iconic devices like the iPhone and the iPod, to oversee a big new bet on AI hardware.

  • OpenAI's promotional materials paired Altman and Ive in a video that strongly implies Altman's team-up with the Apple veteran makes him Jobs' natural successor.
  • Altman has even invoked Jobs directly, saying the Apple founder would be "damn proud" of Ive's move, per Bloomberg's Mark Gurman.

Reality check: It's never that smart to speculate about what a dead person would think, but Altman's suggestion sounds particularly wrongheaded.

  • Jobs devoted his life to Apple and was fiercely protective of the company. At the very least he would have regretted Ive's decision to pursue his next ambitious goal outside Apple. More likely, he'd have seen it as a betrayal.

Zoom out: Every Silicon Valley founder wants to be Steve Jobs at some point, and, for many industry insiders, Altman's success at bringing ChatGPT forth from OpenAI to spark the generative-AI wave qualifies as a Jobs-like leap.

  • Altman shares with Jobs a penchant for vast visionary schemes and a "reality distortion field" that persuades listeners those schemes could come true.
  • As Jobs did, Altman has also sometimes alienated collaborators and left them feeling deceived.

Altman and Jobs also both experienced getting booted from the companies they founded, but in different ways.

  • Jobs spent more than a decade in exile from 1985 to 1997, and many of his associates credit that period with strengthening his human skills for his second act at Apple.
  • Altman returned to his CEO post just a few days after OpenAI's board fired him in November 2023.

Yes, but: There are plenty of ways in which the Altman-Jobs comparison falls short.

  • Jobs was a control freak who obsessed over details and held projects back until they were well-tested.
  • Altman takes more of a Zuckerberg-style "move fast and break things" approach. OpenAI ships products to the public early so users can try them out and show developers what to fix.
  • Also, Jobs โ€” who ruthlessly pruned sprawling product lines โ€” might have found OpenAI's approach to naming and numbering product releases unwieldy.
  • On the other hand, there are no reports to date that Altman likes to park his car in the accessible parking space the way Jobs famously did.

The bottom line: Every industry has its cherished icons whose legacy is fought over by successive generations. While imitating them is common, displacing them is a greater win.

AI race goes supersonic in milestone-packed week

The AI industry unleashed a torrent of major announcements this week, accelerating the race to control how humans search, create and ultimately integrate AI into the fabric of everyday life.

Why it matters: The breakneck pace of innovation โ€” paired with the sky-high ambitions of tech's capitalist titans โ€”ย is reshaping the AI landscape faster than regulators or the public can fully comprehend.


1. OpenAI: The ChatGPT maker joined forces with legendary Apple designer Jony Ive, acquiring his startup io in a $6.5 billion deal to create a new generation of hardware devices.

  • Glitzy promotional materials framed the deal as a historic marriage of Silicon Valley royalty, with CEO Sam Altman predicting a tech revolution unlike anything the world has ever seen.
  • Privately, Altman told staff that he and Ive aim to ship 100 million pocket-sized AI "companions" starting late next yearย โ€” a moonshot he claimed could create $1 trillion in value for OpenAI, the WSJ reports.
  • A day later, OpenAI announced it would build a massive Stargate data center in Abu Dhabi in partnership with the UAE government, Oracle, Nvidia, Cisco, SoftBank, and Emirati AI firm G42.

2. Google: The tech giant made 100 announcements at its I/O developer conference โ€”ย chief among them, a new "AI Mode" chatbot that CEO Sundar Pichai described as a "total reimagining of search."

  • For Google, it's a necessary but thorny shift โ€” one that will force the company to replicate its lucrative ad business in an experience that bears little resemblance to the current web.
  • Google also unveiled Veo 3, a stunningly advanced video model that lit the internet on fire โ€” amazing and horrifying users with AI-generated clips nearly indistinguishable from human-made content.

3. Anthropic: The startup hosted its own developer conferenec and debuted the first models in its latest Claude 4 series โ€” including one, Claude Opus 4, that it says is the world's best at coding.

  • Anthropic said Claude Opus 4 can perform thousands of steps over hours of work without losing focusย โ€”ย and decided it's so powerful that researchers had to institute new safety controls.
  • While that determination had to do with its potential to create nuclear and biological weaponry, researchers also found that Claude Opus 4 can conceal intentions and take actions to preserve its own existence โ€”ย including by blackmailing its engineers.

4. Apple: As the tech world obsessed over Ive's new partnership with OpenAI, Bloomberg reported that the notoriously secretive Apple intends to release smart AI-enabled glasses before the end of 2026.

  • The rumored device โ€” a direct rival to Meta's popular Ray-Bans and forthcoming specs from Google โ€” would include a camera, microphones, and a speaker, effectively turning an Apple-designed wearable into an everyday AI assistant.
  • It's a major bet for the dominant consumer tech giant, which has struggled to crack into the generative AI space after years of setbacks in revamping Siri into a competitive voice assistant.

The bottom line: This week's frenzy was as much a competition to steal headlines โ€” and fight for the hearts and minds of developers โ€” as it was a major leap toward defining how AI will shape the next decade.

Trump helps Putin move the goalposts on Ukraine

President Trump has repeatedly shifted his positions on Ukraine to accommodate Russian President Vladimir Putin, even as Putin has given very little in return.

Why it matters: Trump's critics claim he's getting played โ€” that Putin has no intention of making peace and is stringing him along. But White House officials tell Axios they still believe Putin is about to take tangible steps towards a deal.


The big picture: For now, Trump has given Putin much of what the Russian president had hoped for: no ceasefire, no more sanctions, an intra-NATO divide, and a remarkable amount of leeway from a U.S. leader not known for his patience.

  • Trump has occasionally acknowledged that Putin might be "tapping me along," and has even threatened sanctions or tariffs if Putin keeps obstructing the peace process.
  • But Trump emerged from his call with Putin on Monday showing more deference to Putin than ever โ€” rejecting calls for sanctions, stepping aside as mediator in favor of Putin's preferred format, and heralding Russia's willingness to spell out its demands for peace as a diplomatic coup.

Zoom in: After the call, Trump proposed peace talks in the Vatican, with White House officials saying the Russians would arrive bearing a "peace memo" that laid out Moscow's vision for a ceasefire and a larger deal to end the war.

  • But on Friday, Russian Foreign minister Sergei Lavrov โ€” while confirming that Russia was preparing such a document โ€”ย pushed back on the idea of a meeting in the Vatican, claiming it wouldn't be an appropriate venue for two Orthodox Christian countries to convene.
  • For now, Ukrainian officials say they have no information as to when or where the next round of talks will take place, following the first meeting a week ago in Istanbul.
  • Russia conducted one of the largest drone and missile attacks to date on Kyiv overnight, with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky arguing that proved Putin was dragging out the war and more sanctions were urgently needed.

The intrigue: There's a glaring divide between Trump and leaders in Europe on pressure vs. patience with Putin.

  • The U.K and EU announced new sanctions on Russia this week after Putin again rebuffed Trump's ceasefire pitch. They'd hoped the U.S. would join, but Trump declined.
  • Trump's deference to Putin after Monday's call puzzled allied leaders who joined a conference call with him afterwards.
  • With Moscow continuing to slow-walk a peace process Trump initially claimed would be resolved in 24 hours, the U.S. president seemed more inclined to walk away entirely than to come down hard on Putin.

Between the lines: To push Zelensky to the negotiating table, Trump berated him in the Oval Office and temporarily froze intelligence sharing and weapons shipments.

  • With Putin, he's used carrots โ€” in particular a promise of sanctions relief and better economic ties โ€” but very few sticks.

What they're saying: "I think that Putin is stringing us along," Bridget Brink, who resigned as U.S. ambassador to Ukraine last month to protest Trump's "appeasement," told CNN on Thursday. "This is why it's really important to call a spade a spade and put more pressure on Russia, together with partners and allies in Europe."

The flipside: The White House says Trump's diplomacy with Putin convinced him to produce the forthcoming peace memo, something he was not willing to do before.

  • Trump has repeatedly argued that while it would be "easier" politically to go hard on Putin, maintaining friendly ties will be more fruitful.

What to watch: Trump has a bad cop at the ready, with Senate Republicans โ€” led by Trump ally Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) โ€” itching to impose 500% tariffs on countries (principally China) that buy Russian oil.

  • For now, Trump seems content to let Putin make the next move.

The cost of child care keeps outpacing inflation

Data: Child Care Aware; Map: Axios Visuals

The cost of child care in the U.S. just keeps climbing โ€” a new report finds that prices rose 29% from 2020 to 2024, outpacing overall inflation.

Why it matters: Rising child care costs put a huge financial strain on families, forcing some parents โ€” typically women โ€”ย to either ratchet back their working hours or leave the labor force entirely.


  • For single parents, the calculus can be even more painful.
  • It's also a drag on economic growth overall.

By the numbers: The average annual cost of daycare tuition nationwide for two children โ€”ย one toddler and one infant โ€”ย rose to $28,168 last year, according to data from Child Care Aware, an advocacy group.

Zoom in: The percentages are no less brutal in states with higher incomes.

  • The cost of care for two children in Massachusetts is $47,012 โ€”ย 44% of the median household income in that state.

Zoom out: The U.S. doesn't have publicly funded universal childcare.

  • However, the federal government does put money into the system for low-income kids through block grants to the states, as well as Head Start, the decades-old federal program that provides childcare, nutrition assistance and other services to the nation's poorest families
  • There were worries that the White House would stop funding Head Start, but the administration has said that won't happen.

Yes, but: President Trump's budget proposals look to keep federal funding levels for child care flat next year โ€”ย that's effectively a cut given inflation, says Anne Hedgepeth, senior vice president of policy and research at Child Care Aware.

  • "Level funding in the current environment is essentially a cut, and that is really concerning," she says.

GOP and Dems agree: "Big, beautiful bill" key to 2026 midterms

Republicans and Democrats are at odds over nearly everything in President Trump's reconciliation bill, but they are in strange agreement that the 2026 election will be contested over the provisions contained within its 1,000+ pages.

Why it matters: The 215-214 vote Thursday sets up 18 months of trench warfare to define the bill's impact on Medicaid, tax rates and the southern border.


  • For Republicans, it's taxes, the border and health care for undocumented migrants.
  • For Democrats, it's Medicaid, SNAP and tax cuts for the rich.

๐Ÿ‘€ "It's a vote that every single vulnerable House Republican will come to regret next year," thundered a Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee memo.

  • "The DCCC will use their words against them over and over again like the albatross it is."

The other side: The National Republican Campaign Committee has already launched a five-figure ad hitting its early targets, including Rep. Adam Gray (D-Calif.).

  • "Illegals get freebies, you get the bill," the narrator intones. "Tell Adam Gray: Help Americans, not illegal immigrants."
  • Its own strategy memo claimed, "House Democrats just gave Republicans a generational opportunity to go on offense."

Zoom out: Rarely does a singular vote define an entire election cycle.

  • One exception was former President Clinton's 1993 omnibus budget bill, which passed 218-216, with all 175 House Republicans opposed.
  • A late "yes" vote from Rep. Marjorie Margolies-Mezvinsky, a freshman from Pennsylvania (and Chelsea Clinton's future mother-in-law), hounded her and led directly to her defeat in 1994.
  • The GOP picked up 54 seats and the majority for the first time in 40 years.

Zoom in: As the November 2026 election gets closer, the ad buys will get bigger, but the subject matter is likely to stay the same.

  • The Democratic strategy is clear: Accuse Republicans of stripping millions of Americans of Medicaid and leaving millions of children in danger of losing their school lunches.
  • Republicans will answer the Medicaid charge, in part, by trying to change the subject and accuse Democrats of wanting to provide health care to undocumented immigrants.
  • They will claim Democrats voted for a tax increase and failed to help secure the southern border.

The bottom line: The election cycle is still early. Other potential events โ€” a war, a recession, or (say) a global pandemic โ€” can always subsume a single vote and make the current issue set look small.

  • But ad-makers on both sides have plenty of material to mine in the House-passed bill and paint vulnerable members as heartless, clueless or both.

Trump backs "partnership" between US Steel, Nippon Steel

President Trump on Friday threw his support behind what he called a "planned partnership" between U.S. Steel and Japan-based Nippon Steel, calling it a job-creating deal.

Why it matters: The Biden administration had rejected Nippon's proposed acquisition of U.S. Steel under national security grounds โ€” and Trump had also expressed opposition to an outright sale.


  • U.S. Steel remains an icon of the American economy, albeit a diminished one, its legend indelibly tied to images of rising skyscrapers and bustling factories in the pre-war era.

Between the lines: It was not immediately clear what Trump meant by a "partnership," but Nippon had agreed to up its planned investment in U.S. Steel resources.

  • "I am proud to announce that, after much consideration and negotiation, US Steel will REMAIN in America, and keep its Headquarters in the Great City of Pittsburgh," Trump said on Truth Social.
  • He said, without providing specifics, that the deal would create "at least 70,000 jobs" and add $14 billion to the economy. Nippon had offered to invest $14 billion into U.S. Steel if the deal was approved.
  • "My Tariff Policies will ensure that Steel will once again be, forever, MADE IN AMERICA," Trump said, adding that he'll attend a "BIG Rally" on May 30 to in Pittsburgh.
  • U.S. Steel shares rose more than 21% after the post.

Behind the scenes: The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States โ€” which is charged with assessing the threat of foreign deals for American assets โ€” was set to deliver an opinion on the accord to Trump this week.

  • CFIUS already completed a Nippon-U.S. Steel review under Biden, who blocked the deal, leading to an active lawsuit.

Zoom in: Representatives from U.S. Steel, Nippon, CFIUS and the White House did not immediately respond to requests for comment.

The bottom line: There's always been a strong argument that this merger doesn't pose much national security risk, as Japan is a strong U.S. ally, Axios' Dan Primack reported this week.

Ivy League squeeze: How the Trump administration has hammered Harvard

Harvard is at the center of the Trump administration's higher education pressure campaign โ€” and has emerged as the example of what happens when a university pushes back against the government's demands.

The big picture: By freezing billions in federal funds, derailing international students' futures and levying allegations of antisemitism and discrimination, the administration has squeezed the institution on various fronts as the school becomes the litmus test of how far President Trump will go.


The latest: Harvard on Friday sued the Trump administration (again) over what the school alleges is "clear retaliation" against exercising its First Amendment rights after the administration nixed the Ivy League institution's ability to host international students.

  • A federal judge on Friday swiftly blocked the administration's decision.
  • Harvard University President Alan Garber said in a statement that the move was yet another step "against Harvard for our refusal to surrender our academic independence and to submit to the federal government's illegal assertion of control over our curriculum, our faculty, and our student body."

Yes, but: As the administration batters the university with investigations and grant terminations, its shields and refusal to capitulate persist.

  • But there has still been damage, with researchers trimming expenses as federal grants are reduced or cut entirely.
  • And as Axios' Dan Primack notes, Harvard's loss may be the U.S. economy's as well: Targeting international students, a population that has played a critical role in founding and co-founding startups, could mean setting back the country's innovation engine.

Read below for the ways the Trump administration has targeted Harvard:

Administration lists its demands

In an April 11 letter signed by administration officials, Harvard was presented a series of demands to "maintain" its "financial relationship with the federal government."

  • The list outlined Trump's vision for the university's institutional priorities. The administration has used federal funding as leverage to ensure that those aims are implemented.

Funds frozen

In a strongly worded letter to Garber, Education Secretary Linda McMahon on May 5 announced the end of new grant funding to the university.

  • On top of that, some $2.7 billion in federal funding to Harvard has been halted, per CNN's estimate.
  • That includes the freezing of $2.2 billion in grants and $60 million in contracts announced in April and some $450 million in terminations announced in May.
  • The Department of Health and Human Services also said in mid-May it was terminating several multi-year grant awards totaling nearly $60 million to Harvard, citing antisemitism.

As Axios' Steph Solis puts it, the blows have the university bracing for death by a thousand grant cuts.

Investigations launched

The administration's antisemitism task force, the Justice Department, the Department of Homeland Security and the Education Department, among various other agencies, have probed Harvard in recent months.

Catch up quick: In March, the Department of Education's Office for Civil Rights alerted 60 higher education institutions, including Harvard, that they could face enforcement action if they didn't protect Jewish students.

  • The Education Department and HHS are also investigating allegations that the Harvard Law Review made article selection decisions based on race.
  • DHS Secretary Kristi Noem, threatening last month to withdraw Harvard's certification to host international students, requested records about student visa holders, alleging the university had created a "hostile learning environment" for Jewish students.
  • The Justice Department in May announced it would use the False Claims Act to investigate recipients of federal funds that violate civil rights laws. Per the New York Times, the DOJ is using that avenue to probe Harvard's admissions process.

Threats to Harvard's tax-exempt status

The administration also reportedly asked the Internal Revenue Service to rescind Harvard's tax-exempt status, which Trump said is "totally contingent on acting in the public interest."

  • The legally dubious threat could cost the university hundreds of millions a year.
  • Garber said in an interview with the Wall Street Journal in May that if the government went through with the plan, it would be "highly illegal." He added it would be "destructive" to Harvard and send a "very dire" message to the educational community.

Go deeper: Trump's funding ax throws colleges into an existential crisis

U.S.-Iran nuclear talks show "some progress," no breakthrough in 5th round

The fifth round of nuclear talks between the U.S. and Iran in Rome ended Friday with "some but not conclusive progress," according to Oman's Foreign Minister Badr al-Busaidi, who is mediating between the parties.

Why it matters: In recent days the negotiations have hit a roadblock over the fact that Iran says it will only sign a deal that permits a domestic enrichment capability, and the U.S. has said enrichment is its red line.


  • Israel has been making preparations to swiftly strike Iran's nuclear sites if U.S.-Iran nuclear talks break down in the coming weeks.
  • One source told Axios that Israel believes its operational window for a successful strike could close soon.

Driving the news: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi told Iranian media after Fridays' talks that the discussions are very complicated and further negotiations are needed. He said al-Busaidi had presented several ideas to try to bridge the gaps between the sides.

  • The State Department said special envoy Steve Witkoff and planning director Michael Anton took part in "over two hours" of direct and indirect talks with Araghchi and his team.
  • "The talks continue to be constructive โ€” we made further progress, but there is still work to be done. Both sides agreed to meet again in the near future. We are grateful to our Omani partners for their continued facilitation," the U.S. statement said.

Split screen: Shortly before the talks began, Witkoff met in Rome with Israeli Strategic Affairs Minister Ron Dermer and the director of Israel's Mossad spy agency, David Barnea, according to a U.S. source.

  • The Israeli government is very skeptical of the talks and is preparing for a military option, despite the massive risks of attacking Iran's nuclear facilities.
  • Iran threatened Thursday to move its nuclear material to undisclosed locations to thwart any Israeli strike.

What's next: "We hope to clarify the remaining issues in the coming days, to allow us to proceed towards the common goal of reaching a sustainable and honorable agreement," said al-Busaidi, the Omani mediator.

This story was updated with comments from the State Department.

Trump trade threats bring volatility back to markets

With a blast of early morning social media posts, President Trump escalated the trade war that the White House had spent weeks reducing to a low boil.

Why it matters: It was a reminder that there will be no trade peace in this administration, only trade war lulls of uncertain duration.


  • That reality could keep financial markets on edge.

Driving the news: Trump threatened to impose a minimum 25% tariff on Apple if the tech giant does not shift manufacturing to the U.S.

  • "I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone's that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else," Trump posted on Truth Social.
  • "If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S.," he added โ€” though it is legally dubious whether the White House could subject a single company to a specific tax.
  • Many analysts say that "Made in the USA" iPhones are unrealistic and if somehow it did happen, the product would be notably more expensive.
  • Apple's Tim Cook has announced billions in investments for U.S. manufacturing plants, though Trump is still unsatisfied.

About thirty minutes later, Trump said he would recommend a 50% import duty on European goods starting on June 1 โ€” a far higher rate than the 20% "Liberation Day" rate that was later scaled back to 10%.

  • "The European Union, which was formed for the primary purpose of taking advantage of the United States on TRADE, has been very difficult to deal with," Trump posted.
  • "Our discussions with them are going nowhere!"

The big picture: It is a sharp contrast to the administration's message in recent weeks, with top economic officials suggesting progress on a slew of trade deals ahead of the expiration of the 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs in early July.

  • Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick told Axios' Mike Allen this week that the administration would notch deals with "most" key trading partners by the summer.
  • "I think most countries, we'll have an idea of what we want to do with them," Lutnick said.
  • On Fox News this morning, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that "There are 18 important trading partners. With the exception of the EU, most are negotiating in very good faith."

Between the lines: Vice president JD Vance met with the European Union's top official on Sunday and signaled the meeting would help kick trade talks into high gear.

  • But Trump has a sore spot for Europe, a gripe that goes back decades. On Friday, he repeated assertions that "Trade Barriers, Vat Taxes, ridiculous Corporate Penalties, Non-Monetary Trade Barriers, Monetary Manipulations" kept the U.S. at a disadvantage.
  • Lutnick told Axios that "some countries are impossible" to negotiate with, including the European Union.
  • Bessent will often tell reporters that the bloc is the most difficult to negotiate with because "who do you call?," quoting Henry Kissinger.

The intrigue: Stocks fell โ€” including Apple, which fell more than 2% โ€” after Trump's threats. Europe's stock markets also took a hit.

  • Yields on U.S. government bonds had been shooting higher on concerns about the tax package making its way through Congress, which would add trillions to the deficit.
  • But now that trade is front and center again, the yield on the 30-year Treasury note briefly fell below 5%, before rising back some.

The bottom line: Trade tensions appeared to moving to the back burner.

  • Trump reminded financial markets that he could dial up tensions any time he wants.

Harvard wins temporary relief from Trump's bid to ban foreign students

A federal judge blocked the Trump administration's attempt to ban foreign students from attending Harvard within hours of the university filing its lawsuit Friday.

Why it matters: Harvard is becoming the litmus test of how far the Trump administration will go to try taking down colleges and universities it considers to have liberal biases.


  • The swift decision from Judge Allison D. Burroughs is another blow to President Trump's efforts to cow the elite college.
  • The temporary restraining order will remain in effect at least until an upcoming status hearing on the case.
  • Burroughs agreed with Harvard that letting the ban go into effect while the case is litigated could cause the university "immediate and irreparable injury."

What they're saying: Harvard said that the foreign student ban was retaliation from the Trump administration for opposing its efforts to assert control over elite universities.

  • "The revocation continues a series of government actions to retaliate against Harvard for our refusal to surrender our academic independence and to submit to the federal government's illegal assertion of control over our curriculum, our faculty, and our student body," Harvard President Alan Garber said in a statement.

Catch up quick: On Thursday, the Trump administration barred Harvard's ability to enroll international students and said those currently enrolled should transfer to another school or leave the U.S.

  • The administration requested that Harvard's international student records be provided within 72 hours.
  • Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem said the Trump administration's actions toward Harvard should serve as a "warning to every other university to get your act together."
  • She said the university was being held "accountable for fostering violence, antisemitism, and coordinating with the Chinese Communist Party on its campus."

Read the full lawsuit here:

Go deeper: Harvard ban is warning to other universities, Noem says

Editor's note: This story has been updated with details throughout.

Trump threatens "straight 50%" tariff on European Union

The President Trump threatened to slap 50% tariffs on imports from the European Union early next month in a post on Truth Social on Friday.

Why it matters: The move would escalate global trade tensions after weeks of the White House signaling progress on trade talks.


  • Trump's sweeping import levies have spooked financial markets and raised recession fears globally.

What they're saying: "I am recommending a straight 50% Tariff on the European Union, starting on June 1, 2025. There is no Tariff if the product is built or manufactured in the United States," Trump posted on Truth Social.

  • Trump suggested that trade negotiations with the European Union, which is currently subject to a 10% tariff, had not been productive.
  • "Our discussions with them are going nowhere!," Trump said in the post.
  • The EU is currently running a public review on proposed counter-tariffs on about $100 billion of U.S. products.

The backdrop: The post came minutes after Trump said that Apple would have to pay tariffs "of at least 25%" if iPhones for the American market are not manufactured in the U.S.

Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac surge on Trump post

Data: YCharts. Chart: Axios Visuals

One of the riskiest and most speculative trades in financial markets just got a major boost by President Trump, when he announced Wednesday evening he is "giving very serious consideration to bringing Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac public."

Why it matters: The implication here is that Trump has decided "the time would seem to be right" to end the conservatorship under which the two companies have operated since the financial crisis of 2008.


  • All this could mean profound changes to the structure of the mortgage market in the U.S. as well as the potential windfall for owners of their thinly traded common stock.

The big picture: The U.S. government controls both companies. Between them they owe the Treasury hundreds of billions of dollars in something known as a liquidation preference, cash they have kept on their balance sheets since the Treasury started letting them retain all their earnings in 2019.

  • For privatization advocates, such as hedge-fund billionaire Bill Ackman, that's all money that the federal government should forgive.
  • The so-called senior preferred securities owned by the Treasury should be "deemed repaid," he says in a detailed presentation he released in January.
  • On the other hand, as JPMorgan managing director Sajjad Hussain notes in an analysis published following Ackman's presentation, "the feasibility and willingness to write off $340 billion owed to taxpayers may not be viable in the current political climate."

Between the lines: Trump does seem broadly sympathetic to Ackman's view that the government has already been repaid enough for the 2008 bailout.

  • "The idea that the government can steal money from its citizens is socialism and is a travesty," Trump wrote in 2021, implying that the money being claimed by the Treasury is in some way illegitimate.
  • For his part, Ackman reacted with a ๐Ÿ‘ emoji to Trump's statement on taking the agencies public. (Both stocks rose more than 40% Thursday.)

What's next: Trump administration officials have now been charged with finding a route out of conservatorship for the agencies, one that doesn't destabilize the housing market or unnecessarily raise mortgage rates.

  • And in order for that to happen, some sort of government guarantee will likely have to remain in place, probably in the form of Senior Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements, under which the government promises to inject cash into the companies should they ever need the money.
  • So long as that guarantee remains, Fitch Ratings says, their credit ratings may not need to be adjusted downward. But that said, the ratings agency "expects the process of exiting conservatorship to extend multiple years in order to minimize potential disruption to the U.S. housing market."

The bottom line: Many presidents and many Treasury secretaries have proclaimed a desire to remove Fannie and Freddie from conservatorship.

  • And thus far, none of them have found a way to do so. But the stock market seems to believe this time might be different.

Trump tells Apple to build iPhones in U.S. or pay 25% tariff

President Trump on Friday warned Apple that it needed to build U.S.-sold iPhones in the United States or face a 25% tariff.

Why it matters: Apple already committed to a $500 billion U.S. expansion, but now Trump wants more.


  • It's a dramatic escalation with the tech giant, which was reportedly planning to move production from China to India.

What they're saying: "I have long ago informed Tim Cook of Apple that I expect their iPhone's [sic] that will be sold in the United States of America will be manufactured and built in the United States, not India, or anyplace else," Trump posted to Truth Social.

  • "If that is not the case, a Tariff of at least 25% must be paid by Apple to the U.S.," he added.

The intrigue: Later Friday, Trump suggested the tariff would actually affect all cellphone companies that import into the U.S., as soon as next month.

  • "It would be more, it would be also Samsung and anybody that makes that product, otherwise it wouldn't be fair," he told reporters in the Oval Office. "So anybody that makes that product and that'll start on, I guess, the end of June it'll come out."
  • Trump also claimed he had "an understanding" with Cook that Apple could not sell India-made iPhones in the U.S. without tariffs.
  • White House spokespeople did not immediately return emails for comment.
  • Apple did not return a request for comment.

By the numbers: Analysts have said a U.S.-manufactured iPhone would be prohibitively expensive.

  • "For US consumers, the reality of a $1000 iPhone being one of the best-made consumer products on the planet would disappear," Wedbush Securities analyst Dan Ives wrote recently.
  • He suggested making iPhones in "New Jersey, or Texas, or another state" would boost their price tag to $3500.

Editor's note: This story has been updated with additional comments.

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