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Ex-Google CEO Eric Schmidt says an AI 'Manhattan Project' is a bad idea
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- Former Google CEO Eric Schmidt co-authored a paper warning the US about the dangers of an AI Manhattan Project.
- In the paper, Schmidt, Dan Hendrycks, and Alexandr Wang push for a more defensive approach.
- The authors suggest the US sabotage rival projects, rather than advance the AI frontier alone.
Some of the biggest names in AI tech say an AI "Manhattan Project" could have a destabalizing effect on the US, rather than help safeguard it.
The dire warning came from former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, Center for AI Safety director Dan Hendrycks, and Scale AI CEO Alexandr Wang. They coauthored a policy paper titled "Superintelligence Strategy" published on Wednesday.
In the paper, the tech titans urge the US to stay away from an aggressive push to develop superintelligent AI, or AGI, which the authors say could provoke international retaliation. China, in particular, "would not sit idle" while the US worked to actualize AGI, and "risk a loss of control," they write.
The authors write that circumstances similar to the nuclear arms race that birthed the Manhattan Project β a secretive initiative that ended in the creation of the first atom bomb β have developed around the AI frontier.
In November 2024, for example, a bipartisan congressional committee called for a "Manhattan Project-like" program, dedicated to pumping funds into initiatives that could help the US beat out China in the race to AGI. And just a few days before the authors released their paper, US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright said the country is already "at the start of a new Manhattan Project."
"The Manhattan Project assumes that rivals will acquiesce to an enduring imbalance or omnicide rather than move to prevent it," the authors write. "What begins as a push for a superweapon and global control risks prompting hostile countermeasures and escalating tensions, thereby undermining the very stability the strategy purports to secure."
It's not just the government subsidizing AI advancements, either, according to Schmidt, Hendrycks, and Wang β private corporations are developing "Manhattan Projects" of their own. Demis Hassabis, CEO of Google DeepMind, has said he loses sleep over the possibility of ending up like Robert Oppenheimer.
"Currently, a similar urgency is evident in the global effort to lead in AI, with investment in AI training doubling every year for nearly the past decade," the authors say. "Several 'AI Manhattan Projects' aiming to eventually build superintelligence are already underway, financed by many of the most powerful corporations in the world."
The authors argue that the US already finds itself operating under conditions similar to mutually assured destruction, which refers to the idea that no nation with nuclear weapons will use its arsenal against another, for fear of retribution. They write that a further effort to control the AI space could provoke retaliation from rival global powers.
Instead, the paper suggests the US could benefit from taking a more defensive approach β sabotaging "destabilizing" AI projects via methods like cyberattacks, rather than rushing to perfect their own.
In order to address "rival states, rogue actors, and the risk of losing control" all at once, the authors put forth a threefold strategy. Deterring via sabotage, restricting access of chips and "weaponizable AI systems" to "rogue actors," and guaranteeing US access to AI chips via domestic manufacturing.
Overall, Schmidt, Hendrycks, and Wang push for balance, rather than what they call the "move fast and break things" strategy. They argue that the US has an opportunity to take a step back from the urgent rush of the arms race, and shift to a more defensive strategy.
"By methodically constraining the most destabilizing moves, states can guide AI toward unprecedented benefits rather than risk it becoming a catalyst of ruin," the authors write.
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Trickle-down DOGE: Republican states embrace Musk-style cuts
Republicans across the country have launched initiatives mirroring the Trump administration's Department of Government Efficiency to root out so-called "waste" and "fraud" within state budgets.
Why it matters: While they cheer Elon Musk's chainsaw, some of those same officials worry how those deep cuts at the federal level will affect their states, which take in more federal money than they send to Washington.
- Oklahoma Gov. Kevin Stitt, who established DOGE-OK via executive order last month, acknowledged that reality to Politico, noting that as DOGE is "trying to cut $2 trillion out of the federal spending β¦ a lot of money from the feds goes to the states."
- He suggested state officials can help guide DOGE when considering state aid.
Driving the news: Stitt is not alone as the DOGE drive trickles down to the state level.
- Louisiana Gov. Jeff Landry's DOGE-like initiative preceded Trump's inauguration by creating a "Fiscal Responsibility Program" in December with the goal of downsizing the state budget.
- New Hampshire Gov. Kelly Ayotte's first executive order established a Commission on Government Efficiency (COGE), "to streamline government, cut spending, and ensure we're doing everything we can to create value for taxpayers."
- In North Carolina, lawmakers formed an "interim House 'Select Committee on Government Efficiency,'" which is authorized to "look at DEI policies, excess state property, and other potential wastes of taxpayer dollars."
- Georgia's Senate recently passed a bill likened to a "state-level DOGE" backed by Lt. Governor Burt Jones to curb regulatory burdens.
- And in Florida, Gov. Ron DeSantis launched a Florida DOGE task force, with university spending a prime target.
Yes, but: The Trump administration's slash-and-burn style of budget busting worries some GOP lawmakers.
- "If you're making [final] decisions without involving local representatives, you're making a mistake," House Appropriations Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) told reporters when discussing cuts to a key National Weather Service facility in his district.
- Landry and other Louisiana officials asked the Office of Management and Budget "to develop a responsible runway to untangle us from any unnecessary and egregious policies without jeopardizing the financial stability of the state."
- Several lawmakers have pressed the administration to act with "compassion" and treat the federal workforce "with dignity" as mass federal layoffs take a toll far beyond D.C.
State of play: States' initiatives so far have not echoed the dramatic disruptions Trump and Musk's DOGE triggered.
- Layoffs have hit thousands of employees across the government, from NOAA to National Parks to the IRS, as the administration guts federal agencies and slashes contracts deemed wasteful.
Reality check: To make the vast $2 trillion reduction Elon Musk has floated, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and defense cuts would mathematically be a likely necessity.
- And how the federal government does its math β considering tax and spending cuts β could shake up state-level budgets.
Go deeper: Trump stares down early economic potholes
House Republican plots to kick dozens of Democrats off committees over floor disruption
A House Republican said Thursday he will force votes on kicking dozens of Democratic colleagues off of their committees for chanting and singing on the House floor over the objections of Speaker Mike Johnson (R-La.).
Why it matters: The incident came in response to Republicans and nearly a dozen Democrats voting to censure Rep. Al Green (D-Texas) for disrupting President Trump's speech to Congress.
- As Johnson read out the resolution censuring Green, dozens of House Democrats, primarily Black Caucus members and progressives, stood in the well of the House singing "We Shall Overcome."
- Johnson repeatedly banged the gavel and said, "The House will come to order," before putting the House in recess until the disruption subsided.
What they're saying: "Today, a group of House Democrats broke decorum during the censure of Rep. Al Green and, after multiple warnings, refused to heed [Johnson's] order," Rep. Andy Ogles (R-Tenn.) said in a post on X.
- Ogles said he is drafting privileged resolutions β which any member can force to a vote with or without support from leadership β to "remove each of them from their committees."
- "If you want to act like a child in the Halls of Congress, you will be treated like a child," Ogles said.
Editor's note: This story has been corrected to reflect that Rep. Al Green represents Texas (not Arizona).