Trump's mega-MAGA month transforms America
President Trump's first month in office has exceeded the wildest dreams of his most loyal supporters,Β and the darkest nightmares of his fiercest detractors.
Why it matters: Both groups can agree: The America that Joe Biden left behind on Jan. 20 is no longer recognizable, erased in four frenetic weeks by an empowered, implacable and historically popular MAGA presidency.
- Like Trump 1.0, the firehose of news and norm-busting behavior is β and will continue to be β the defining feature of this administration.
- Unlike Trump 1.0, the chaos is calculated β and explicitlyΒ designed to institutionalize MAGA, paralyze the president's enemies and permanently break the Washington establishment.
Zoom in: Above all else, Trump's first month has been dominated by his war on the federal bureaucracy β and his various efforts to prod, probe and blow through the limits of presidential power.
- The White House's early attempt to freeze federal funding has set the stage for a massive legal fight over Congress's "power of the purse," which is laid out in Article 1 of the Constitution.
- Elon Musk and his DOGE allies are slashing and burning their way through government agencies β cheered on by the MAGA faithful as they fire thousands of federal workers, sometimes with reckless abandon.
- The rapid dismantling of USAID and the government-wide assault on DEI have sent clear signals that any programs misaligned with Trump's MAGA will be on the chopping block. The Department of Education could be next.
- At the Justice Department β which haunted both Trump's first term and his next four years as a private citizen β the purging of career prosecutors and FBI agents has punctured any veneer of independence from the White House.
Between the lines: Trump and Musk's shock treatment of the U.S. government has overshadowed the two main issues that dominated the 2024 campaign: immigration and inflation.
1. On immigration, Trump has moved with lightning speed to enforce his promise of a sealed border.
- Arrests from border crossings plummeted to 21,593 in January β down from 47,316 in December, and an all-time high of 250,000 in December 2023 β after a blizzard of Day One immigration-related executive orders.
- Trump's goal of deporting millions of undocumented immigrants has proven more difficult, with the pace of operations stalling because of a lack of funds, detention space, officers and infrastructure.
2. "Inflation is back," Trump acknowledged in an interview with Fox News' Sean Hannity this week. "I had nothing to do with it," he then argued, pinning the blame on Biden's spending policies.
- Despite promising to "end inflation" starting on Day One, Trump is right that the effects of his new policies won't immediately show up in consumer prices.
- The danger: Trump's sweeping use of tariffs is injecting deep uncertainty into global markets, and could turn inflation into a long-term feature of the U.S. economy.
What to watch: With the dust still settling on America's new normal, Congress soon will move to codify vast swaths of Trump's agenda.
- Trump on Wednesday endorsed House Republicans' budget resolution, which includes $4.5 trillion in tax cuts and at least $1.5 trillion in spending cuts βΒ including to Medicaid.
- With a razor-thin majority in the House, Trump's vision for "ONE BIG BEAUTIFUL BILL" is a huge gamble β but one that would clear the way for a historic, and enduring, reordering of the American economy.
Zoom out: In the meantime, Trump's return to a deeply transactional foreign policy has exhilarated his "America First" base while alarming U.S. allies worldwide.
- This week alone, Trump called Ukrainian President Volodymr Zelensky a "dictator without elections" and repeatedly endorsed the Kremlin's false narrative that it was Ukraine β not Russia β that started the war.
- Even more shocking was Trump's proposal to take over and redevelop Gaza into "the Riviera of the Middle East." Critics say the plan β which Trump says would involve relocating Palestinians to Egypt, Jordan or elsewhere β is unworkable and would amount to the ethnic cleansing of 2 million Palestinians.
- The president's aides and allies say his provocations should be viewed through the lens of dealmaking. For now, most foreign leaders are opting to take him at his word.
The bottom line: For all the scar tissue already accumulating in Washington, Trump is only 2% through his four-year term.
- If his bets pay off, he'll have rewritten the rules of American governance for generations.
- If they backfire, the consequences could be just as historic.